Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.53
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RAAL La Louvière (Local): 38.63%; KV Mechelen (Visit): 31.76%; Draw: 29.61%. For KV Mechelen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.80%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.68%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV +4.80%E +1.45%K +2.09%G +0.100% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.10%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.68%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV +4.80%E +1.45%K +2.09%G +0.100% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.10%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV +1.62%E +0.507%K +0.738%G +0.012% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -9.70%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -1.55%E -0.501%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -1.55%E -0.501%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.14%E -4.87%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.76%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.70%EV -2.82%E -0.922%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV +0.667%E +0.196%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.28%EV -2.25%E -0.891%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV -2.82%E -0.922%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.08%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.14%E -4.87%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.14%E -4.87%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.14%E -4.87%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -11.91%E -5.23%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -14.73%E -5.11%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.70%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -15.62%E -5.48%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -15.62%E -5.48%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%EV -4.19%E -1.69%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%EV -4.19%E -1.69%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%EV -4.19%E -1.69%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.43%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.55%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.03%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -3.41%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.29%E -0.695%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.29%E -0.695%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 10:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -2.29%E -0.695%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 12:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-25 19:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -14.73%E -5.11%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -14.73%E -5.11%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-26 06:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -14.73%E -5.11%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -10.37%E -4.47%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -9.49%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -9.49%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.65%EV -10.37%E -4.47%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -9.49%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.08%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.08%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.67%E -4.61%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -12.67%E -4.61%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -17.10%E -6.11%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.04% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.94% | 0.1% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 1.8% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |