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RAAL La Louvière v KV Mechelen

2026-08-29 14:00 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

RAAL La Louvière (Local)

Prediction 38.00%2.63fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.26%37.98%37.96%38.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.452.5244.44%41.34%40.82%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KV Mechelen (Visit)

Prediction 31.97%3.13fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.31%32.04%31.91%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.852.903.0038.46%35.08%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.04%3.33fair odd
EV -0.880%
Edge -0.267%
Kelly -0.383%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.53%29.98%30.13%30.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.3034.48%32.34%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: RAAL La Louvière (Local): 38.00%; KV Mechelen (Visit): 31.97%; Draw: 30.04%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.30, with an expected value of -0.880%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.88%EV -4.25%E -1.69%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -5.39%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:10
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.97%EV -4.63%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.87%EV -4.42%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.16%EV -5.09%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -8.89%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.89%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -6.53%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -6.34%E -2.16%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -7.49%E -2.43%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 00:03
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.88%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.89%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -0.880%E -0.267%K -0.383%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 18:59
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.88%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.88%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.88%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 18:59
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.88%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 18:59
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -8.89%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.38%E -0.733%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 18:59
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -6.66%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.39%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 18:59
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -6.66%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.39%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 19:00
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -8.39%E -2.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 19:34
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.89%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 19:00
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.89%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.89%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.89%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Suprabets🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.76%EV -7.67%E -3.16%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.38%EV -9.29%E -3.08%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 18:58
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.49%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.88%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -6.89%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -6.89%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 19:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.83%EV -9.95%E -4.20%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -8.89%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.71%EV -12.29%E -4.21%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -10.71%E -4.56%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -15.29%E -5.77%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -11.39%E -3.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-22 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.37%EV -12.61%E -5.48%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.69%EV -13.69%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -8.39%E -2.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 18:59
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -12.61%E -5.48%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.11%EV -15.93%E -6.06%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -9.89%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-22 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%EV -12.61%E -5.48%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.04%EV -16.89%E -6.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.62%EV -12.89%E -4.45%K -6.79%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -14.51%E -6.45%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -10.49%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -11.39%E -3.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-22 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 37.95%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.38%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%8.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 37.17%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.53%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.30%13.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-22 19:00

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