Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

RAAL La Louvière v KV Mechelen

Início: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Final: RAAL La Louvière 2–2 KV Mechelen

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

RAAL La Louvière (Local)

Previsão 38.63%2.59odd justa
EV -2.25%
Vantagem -0.891%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.63%38.72%38.61%39.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.382.402.5344.44%42.05%41.67%39.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

KV Mechelen (Visitante)

Previsão 31.76%3.15odd justa
EV +4.80%
Vantagem +1.45%
Kelly +2.09%
Crescimento +0.100%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.22%31.62%31.70%32.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.972.943.3036.36%33.73%34.07%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.61%3.38odd justa
EV +0.667%
Vantagem +0.196%
Kelly +0.278%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.30%29.65%29.69%31.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.083.103.4035.71%32.42%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: RAAL La Louvière (Local): 38.63%; KV Mechelen (Visitante): 31.76%; Empate: 29.61%. Para KV Mechelen (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.15. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.80%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.68%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV +4.80%E +1.45%K +2.09%G +0.100%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.10%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.68%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV +4.80%E +1.45%K +2.09%G +0.100%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.10%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 13:40
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV +1.62%E +0.507%K +0.738%G +0.012%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -9.70%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:55
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -1.55%E -0.501%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -1.55%E -0.501%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.14%E -4.87%K -7.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:40
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.76%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.70%EV -2.82%E -0.922%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV +0.667%E +0.196%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.1%2026-08-29 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.28%EV -2.25%E -0.891%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV -2.82%E -0.922%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.08%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.14%E -4.87%K -7.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.14%E -4.87%K -7.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.14%E -4.87%K -7.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -11.91%E -5.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -14.73%E -5.11%K -7.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.70%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -15.62%E -5.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 13:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -15.62%E -5.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%EV -4.19%E -1.69%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%EV -4.19%E -1.69%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:55
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%EV -4.19%E -1.69%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Suprabets🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.43%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.55%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.03%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:48
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -3.41%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.29%E -0.695%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.29%E -0.695%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 10:49
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 17:25
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:35
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:35
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -2.29%E -0.695%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 12:46
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:55
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-25 19:44
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -14.73%E -5.11%K -7.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -14.73%E -5.11%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:49
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:55
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 17:30
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-26 06:19
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -14.73%E -5.11%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -10.37%E -4.47%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -9.49%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:54
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -9.49%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.65%EV -10.37%E -4.47%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -9.49%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.08%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.08%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.67%E -4.61%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -12.67%E -4.61%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -17.10%E -6.11%K -9.50%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-29 13:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.04%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.94%0.1%2026-08-29 13:00
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-08-29 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%1.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%1.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%1.3%2026-08-29 13:45
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-08-29 13:45