Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

RAAL La Louvière v KV Mechelen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Score final : RAAL La Louvière 2–2 KV Mechelen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

RAAL La Louvière (Local)

Prévision 38.63%2.59cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -0.891%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.63%38.72%38.61%39.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.382.402.5344.44%42.05%41.67%39.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

KV Mechelen (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.76%3.15cote équitable
EV +4.80%
Avantage +1.45%
Kelly +2.09%
Croissance +0.100%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.22%31.62%31.70%32.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.972.943.3036.36%33.73%34.07%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.61%3.38cote équitable
EV +0.667%
Avantage +0.196%
Kelly +0.278%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.30%29.65%29.69%31.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.083.103.4035.71%32.42%32.26%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : RAAL La Louvière (Local) : 38.63% ; KV Mechelen (Visiteur) : 31.76% ; Match nul : 29.61%. Pour KV Mechelen (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.15. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.30, soit une espérance positive de +4.80%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.68%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV +4.80%E +1.45%K +2.09%G +0.100%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.10%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.68%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV +4.80%E +1.45%K +2.09%G +0.100%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.10%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 13:40
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV +1.62%E +0.507%K +0.738%G +0.012%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -9.70%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:55
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV +0.036%E +0.011%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -1.55%E -0.501%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -1.55%E -0.501%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.14%E -4.87%K -7.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:40
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.76%EV -5.73%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.70%EV -2.82%E -0.922%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV +0.667%E +0.196%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.1%2026-08-29 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.28%EV -2.25%E -0.891%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV -2.82%E -0.922%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.08%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.14%E -4.87%K -7.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.14%E -4.87%K -7.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.14%E -4.87%K -7.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -11.91%E -5.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -14.73%E -5.11%K -7.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.70%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -15.62%E -5.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 13:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -15.62%E -5.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%EV -4.19%E -1.69%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%EV -4.19%E -1.69%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:55
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%EV -4.19%E -1.69%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Suprabets🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.43%EV -6.12%E -2.52%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.55%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.03%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:48
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -3.41%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.29%E -0.695%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.29%E -0.695%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 10:49
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 17:25
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:35
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:35
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -2.29%E -0.695%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 12:46
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:55
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-25 19:44
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -14.73%E -5.11%K -7.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.90%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -14.73%E -5.11%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:49
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:55
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 17:30
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-26 06:19
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.05%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -8.54%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -14.73%E -5.11%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -10.37%E -4.47%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -9.49%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:54
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -9.49%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.65%EV -10.37%E -4.47%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -9.49%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.08%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -13.07%E -5.81%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.08%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.67%E -4.61%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -11.14%E -4.84%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -12.67%E -4.61%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -17.10%E -6.11%K -9.50%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-29 13:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.04%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.94%0.1%2026-08-29 13:00
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-08-29 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%1.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%1.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%1.3%2026-08-29 13:45
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-08-29 13:45