The School of Odds
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Lommel SK v Westerlo

2026-08-23 14:00 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lommel SK (Local)

Prediction 39.42%2.54fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.55%39.63%39.39%41.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.312.352.4346.51%43.20%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Westerlo (Visit)

Prediction 32.46%3.08fair odd
EV +0.619%
Edge +0.200%
Kelly +0.295%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.15%32.30%32.41%33.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.823.1038.46%35.31%35.46%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.448%
Kelly -0.628%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.84%28.07%28.20%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.39%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lommel SK (Local): 39.42%; Westerlo (Visit): 32.46%; Draw: 28.12%. For Westerlo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.10, producing a positive expected value of +0.619%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.619%E +0.200%K +0.295%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 13:08
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.29%EV -4.21%E -1.73%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.47%EV -4.57%E -1.56%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -4.94%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 12:09
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.39%E -2.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.87%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 11:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -7.37%E -3.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.87%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.57%E -0.448%K -0.628%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 10:44
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.58%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.87%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 10:44
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.37%E -3.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.87%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.87%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 10:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.87%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 10:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 12:09
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.37%E -3.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 11:59
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.37%E -3.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 11:59
Suprabets🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.55%EV -8.55%E -3.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.59%EV -9.72%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 12:23
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -8.47%E -3.00%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 10:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -8.47%E -3.00%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 10:42
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 10:44
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 11:49
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 11:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.18%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 11:49
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 10:59
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-17 10:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-17 10:59
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 10:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-17 11:54
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.16%EV -15.25%E -7.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -12.82%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-17 10:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-17 10:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -15.61%E -6.00%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -12.82%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-17 10:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 34.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 32.85%1.41I 70.92%NM 32.85%115.9%2026-08-17 12:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74%170.3%2026-08-17 11:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74%170.3%2026-08-17 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74%170.3%2026-08-17 11:14

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