Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lommel SK v Westerlo

Início: 2026-08-23 14:00 UTC

Final: Lommel SK 4–0 Westerlo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lommel SK (Local)

Previsão 31.46%3.18odd justa
EV +1.60%
Vantagem +0.496%
Kelly +0.719%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.97%31.38%31.41%32.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.922.903.2336.36%34.25%34.48%30.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Westerlo (Visitante)

Previsão 42.63%2.35odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.477%
Kelly -0.839%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.74%42.62%42.58%44.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.202.202.3248.78%45.53%45.45%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.92%3.86odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -0.537%
Kelly -0.731%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.13%26.00%26.01%27.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.533.523.7830.30%28.37%28.37%26.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Lommel SK (Local): 31.46%; Westerlo (Visitante): 42.63%; Empate: 25.92%. Para Lommel SK (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.18. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.23, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.60%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV +1.60%E +0.496%K +0.719%G +0.012%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.41%EV -7.07%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.61%EV -2.03%E -0.537%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 13:50
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 13:55
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.22%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.98%EV -1.53%E -0.664%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.79%EV -2.55%E -0.678%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51%EV -1.11%E -0.477%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.39%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51%EV -1.11%E -0.477%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.39%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 13:25
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 13:55
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 13:50
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:10
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -5.95%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.77%EV -7.07%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -7.21%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -6.26%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.54%EV -6.26%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 13:54
BetAnything🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.54%EV -6.26%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 13:50
Suprabets🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.44%EV -6.58%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.63%EV -6.65%E -3.04%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 13:54
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -7.20%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -2.81%E -1.23%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.99%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 13:25
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -8.15%E -2.79%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.74%EV -1.96%E -0.852%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 13:55
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -8.15%E -2.79%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.74%EV -1.96%E -0.852%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -2.81%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 13:55
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 13:55
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 13:25
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 13:25
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 13:50
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 13:55
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.62%E -6.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 13:25
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 13:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -11.92%E -4.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.99%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.92%E -4.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.92%E -4.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.92%E -4.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.28%EV -7.50%E -3.46%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.92%E -4.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-23 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-23 13:25
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 13:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-23 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-23 13:50
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-08-23 13:55
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-08-23 13:50