Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lommel SK v Westerlo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 14:00 UTC

Score final : Lommel SK 4–0 Westerlo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lommel SK (Local)

Prévision 31.46%3.18cote équitable
EV +1.60%
Avantage +0.496%
Kelly +0.719%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 3.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.97%31.38%31.41%32.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.922.903.2336.36%34.25%34.48%30.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Westerlo (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.63%2.35cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.477%
Kelly -0.839%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.74%42.62%42.58%44.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.202.202.3248.78%45.53%45.45%43.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.92%3.86cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -0.537%
Kelly -0.731%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.13%26.00%26.01%27.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.533.523.7830.30%28.37%28.37%26.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Lommel SK (Local) : 31.46% ; Westerlo (Visiteur) : 42.63% ; Match nul : 25.92%. Pour Lommel SK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.18. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.23, soit une espérance positive de +1.60%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV +1.60%E +0.496%K +0.719%G +0.012%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.41%EV -7.07%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.61%EV -2.03%E -0.537%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 13:50
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.49%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 13:55
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.22%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.98%EV -1.53%E -0.664%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.79%EV -2.55%E -0.678%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51%EV -1.11%E -0.477%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.39%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.51%EV -1.11%E -0.477%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.39%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 13:25
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 13:55
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 13:50
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:10
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.63%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -5.95%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.77%EV -7.07%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -7.21%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -6.26%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.54%EV -6.26%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 13:54
BetAnything🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.54%EV -6.26%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 13:50
Suprabets🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.44%EV -6.58%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.63%EV -6.65%E -3.04%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 13:54
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -7.20%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -2.81%E -1.23%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.99%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 13:25
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -8.15%E -2.79%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.74%EV -1.96%E -0.852%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 13:55
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -8.15%E -2.79%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.74%EV -1.96%E -0.852%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -2.81%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 13:55
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 13:55
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 13:25
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 13:25
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 13:50
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 13:55
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.62%E -6.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 13:25
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 13:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -10.35%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -11.92%E -4.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.99%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.92%E -4.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.92%E -4.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.92%E -4.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.28%EV -7.50%E -3.46%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.92%E -4.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-23 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-23 13:25
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-23 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-23 13:50
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-08-23 13:55
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-08-23 13:50