Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.65
assuming max odds 2.71
assuming max odds 3.63
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leuven (Local): 36.50%; Westerlo (Visit): 36.65%; Draw: 26.85%. For Westerlo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.71, with an expected value of -0.689%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 17:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.00%EV -4.36%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.30%EV -2.15%E -0.807%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.70%EV -2.54%E -0.698%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -4.36%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -4.36%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.12%EV -4.72%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.75%EV -0.689%E -0.254%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -4.15%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.44%EV -5.82%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -1.79%E -0.667%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.44%EV -5.82%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -1.79%E -0.667%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.44%EV -5.82%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -1.79%E -0.667%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -6.55%E -2.56%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -9.78%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 18:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.78%EV -7.28%E -2.87%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.66%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -8.98%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:18 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.16%EV -8.01%E -3.18%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.64%EV -8.17%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-21 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -9.12%E -3.68%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -9.12%E -3.68%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.44%EV -11.66%E -4.82%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.39%E -5.16%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -12.39%E -5.16%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -13.88%E -5.91%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -16.04%E -6.97%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -15.71%E -6.83%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -16.04%E -6.97%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -15.71%E -6.83%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%EV -22.67%E -7.87%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 21.7% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.42% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 17:55 |