La escuela de los momios

Leuven v Westerlo

Inicio: 2026-04-21 18:30 UTC

Final: Leuven 0–2 Westerlo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leuven (Local)

Predicción 36.50%2.74momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.72%36.52%36.49%37.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.45%39.22%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Westerlo (Visitante)

Predicción 36.65%2.73momio equitativo
EV -0.689%
Ventaja -0.254%
Kelly -0.403%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.08%36.62%36.60%38.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.502.7143.48%39.51%40.00%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.85%3.72momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -0.698%
Kelly -0.964%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%26.87%26.91%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.443.453.6334.72%29.09%28.99%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 18:10
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 18:10
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 17:49
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 37.00%EV -4.36%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.30%EV -2.15%E -0.807%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.70%EV -2.54%E -0.698%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 18:20
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -4.36%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -4.36%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:50
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.12%EV -4.72%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.75%EV -0.689%E -0.254%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -4.15%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 18:10
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 18:10
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 18:10
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 18:10
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:05
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 17:50
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.44%EV -5.82%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -1.79%E -0.667%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:15
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.44%EV -5.82%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -1.79%E -0.667%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:15
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 36.44%EV -5.82%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -1.79%E -0.667%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:15
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -6.55%E -2.56%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -9.78%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:20
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:25
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:25
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:23
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:25
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:25
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:00
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:00
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:00
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:14
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:10
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:10
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:10
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 18:10
Suprabets2.54I 39.37%NM 36.78%EV -7.28%E -2.87%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.66%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -8.98%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:18
Betclic (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.16%EV -8.01%E -3.18%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.64%EV -8.17%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:10
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:18
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:05
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 18:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 18:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:05
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:04
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 17:50
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -9.12%E -3.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -9.12%E -3.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 18:05
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 18:25
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 18:00
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.44%EV -11.66%E -4.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-21 18:15
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.39%E -5.16%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-21 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -12.39%E -5.16%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -13.88%E -5.91%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 18:04
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -16.04%E -6.97%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -15.71%E -6.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-21 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -16.04%E -6.97%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -15.71%E -6.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%EV -22.67%E -7.87%K -12.06%G +0.000%21.7%2026-04-21 18:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-21 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-21 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-21 18:20
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.42%6.0%2026-04-21 17:55