L’École des cotes

Leuven v Westerlo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 18:30 UTC

Score final : Leuven 0–2 Westerlo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leuven (Local)

Prévision 36.50%2.74cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.72%36.52%36.49%37.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.45%39.22%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Westerlo (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.65%2.73cote équitable
EV -0.689%
Avantage -0.254%
Kelly -0.403%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.08%36.62%36.60%38.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.502.7143.48%39.51%40.00%36.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.85%3.72cote équitable
EV -2.54%
Avantage -0.698%
Kelly -0.964%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.77%26.87%26.91%28.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.443.453.6334.72%29.09%28.99%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 18:10
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 18:10
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 17:49
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 37.00%EV -4.36%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.30%EV -2.15%E -0.807%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.70%EV -2.54%E -0.698%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 18:20
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -4.36%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -4.36%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:50
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.12%EV -4.72%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.75%EV -0.689%E -0.254%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -4.15%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 18:10
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 18:10
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 18:10
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 18:10
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:05
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 17:50
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.44%EV -5.82%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -1.79%E -0.667%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:15
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.44%EV -5.82%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -1.79%E -0.667%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:15
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 36.44%EV -5.82%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -1.79%E -0.667%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:15
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -6.55%E -2.56%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -9.78%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:20
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:25
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:25
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:23
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:25
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:25
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:00
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:00
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:00
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.72%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:14
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:10
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:10
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:10
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 18:10
Suprabets2.54I 39.37%NM 36.78%EV -7.28%E -2.87%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.66%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -8.98%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:18
Betclic (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.16%EV -8.01%E -3.18%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.64%EV -8.17%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:10
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:18
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:05
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 18:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 18:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:05
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:04
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 17:50
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -9.12%E -3.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.34%EV -9.12%E -3.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 18:05
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 18:25
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 18:00
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.44%EV -11.66%E -4.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-21 18:15
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.39%E -5.16%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-21 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -12.39%E -5.16%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -13.88%E -5.91%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 18:04
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -16.04%E -6.97%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -15.71%E -6.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-21 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -16.04%E -6.97%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -15.71%E -6.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%EV -22.67%E -7.87%K -12.06%G +0.000%21.7%2026-04-21 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-21 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-21 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-21 18:20
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.42%6.0%2026-04-21 17:55