Language:English
Leuven v Standard Liege
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leuven (Local)
Prediction 44.18%2.26fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.74%44.20%44.27%45.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.69%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Standard Liege (Visit)
Prediction 27.12%3.69fair odd
EV +1.69%
Edge +0.451%
Kelly +0.615%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%27.03%27.03%28.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.433.403.7533.33%29.16%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.70%3.48fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.709%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.63%28.77%28.70%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.213.253.4035.71%31.12%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leuven (Local): 44.18%; Standard Liege (Visit): 27.12%; Draw: 28.70%. For Standard Liege (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -5.46%E -2.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.69%E +0.451%K +0.615%G +0.010% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -5.46%E -2.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.69%E +0.451%K +0.615%G +0.010% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -2.81%E -1.28%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV +0.336%E +0.091%K +0.124%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -7.29%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.90%EV -5.90%E -2.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.749%E -0.205%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.56%EV -12.17%E -3.98%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 15:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -3.69%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -2.38%E -0.660%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -2.41%E -0.709%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -3.69%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -2.38%E -0.660%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -2.41%E -0.709%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.38%E -0.660%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.46%E -2.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.46%E -2.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.78%EV -5.90%E -2.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -4.00%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -10.45%E -3.35%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.57%EV -1.48%E -0.664%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.66%EV -2.70%E -0.796%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -6.34%E -2.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -6.34%E -2.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -6.34%E -2.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -2.81%E -1.28%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.41%E -0.709%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -8.55%E -4.13%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -6.34%E -2.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -13.89%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -10.76%E -5.33%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -10.76%E -5.33%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.96%EV -8.55%E -4.13%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.33%EV -9.70%E -2.91%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.71%EV -9.01%E -2.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 15:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.21%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -12.46%E -4.08%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -13.85%E -7.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -15.62%E -8.18%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -18.65%E -6.22%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -19.63%E -7.01%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |