La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Leuven v Standard Liege
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Leuven (Local)
Predicción 44.18%2.26momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.664%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.74%44.20%44.27%45.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.69%47.62%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Standard Liege (Visitante)
Predicción 27.12%3.69momio equitativo
EV +1.69%
Ventaja +0.451%
Kelly +0.615%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.55%27.03%27.03%28.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.433.403.7533.33%29.16%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.70%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -0.709%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%28.77%28.70%30.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.213.253.4035.71%31.12%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -5.46%E -2.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.69%E +0.451%K +0.615%G +0.010% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -5.46%E -2.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.69%E +0.451%K +0.615%G +0.010% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -2.81%E -1.28%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV +0.336%E +0.091%K +0.124%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -7.29%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Suprabets | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.90%EV -5.90%E -2.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.749%E -0.205%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.56%EV -12.17%E -3.98%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 15:58 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -3.69%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -2.38%E -0.660%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -2.41%E -0.709%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -3.69%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -2.38%E -0.660%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -2.41%E -0.709%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.38%E -0.660%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.46%E -2.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.46%E -2.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.78%EV -5.90%E -2.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -4.00%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -10.45%E -3.35%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.57%EV -1.48%E -0.664%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.66%EV -2.70%E -0.796%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -6.34%E -2.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -6.34%E -2.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -6.34%E -2.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 15:59 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -2.81%E -1.28%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.41%E -0.709%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -8.55%E -4.13%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -6.34%E -2.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -13.89%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -10.76%E -5.33%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -10.76%E -5.33%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.96%EV -8.55%E -4.13%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.33%EV -9.70%E -2.91%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.71%EV -9.01%E -2.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 15:58 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.21%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -12.46%E -4.08%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -13.85%E -7.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -15.62%E -8.18%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -18.65%E -6.22%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -19.63%E -7.01%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |