L’École des cotes

Leuven v Standard Liege

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 16:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leuven (Local)

Prévision 44.18%2.26cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.664%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.74%44.20%44.27%45.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.69%47.62%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Standard Liege (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.12%3.69cote équitable
EV +1.69%
Avantage +0.451%
Kelly +0.615%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.55%27.03%27.03%28.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.433.403.7533.33%29.16%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.70%3.48cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -0.709%
Kelly -1.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.63%28.77%28.70%30.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.213.253.4035.71%31.12%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -5.46%E -2.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.69%E +0.451%K +0.615%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -5.46%E -2.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.69%E +0.451%K +0.615%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 16:00
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -2.81%E -1.28%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV +0.336%E +0.091%K +0.124%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -7.29%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 16:09
Suprabets2.13I 46.95%NM 43.90%EV -5.90%E -2.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.749%E -0.205%K -0.282%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.56%EV -12.17%E -3.98%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 15:58
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -3.69%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -2.38%E -0.660%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -2.41%E -0.709%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 15:50
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -3.69%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -2.38%E -0.660%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -2.41%E -0.709%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 15:50
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.38%E -0.660%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.46%E -2.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 15:49
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.46%E -2.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 15:49
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 12:00
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 12:29
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.78%EV -5.90%E -2.77%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -4.00%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -10.45%E -3.35%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:00
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.57%EV -1.48%E -0.664%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.66%EV -2.70%E -0.796%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:09
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:00
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -6.34%E -2.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 15:49
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -6.34%E -2.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 15:49
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -6.34%E -2.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 15:50
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 13:54
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:00
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 15:59
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 15:50
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 15:49
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 15:50
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 15:49
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -2.81%E -1.28%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:09
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 16:09
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.41%E -0.709%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 15:59
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -8.55%E -4.13%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:49
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 15:49
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:59
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -6.34%E -2.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -13.89%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 15:49
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -10.76%E -5.33%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 15:49
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -10.76%E -5.33%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.59%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 15:49
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.96%EV -8.55%E -4.13%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.33%EV -9.70%E -2.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.71%EV -9.01%E -2.84%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 15:58
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 16:09
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 16:09
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 16:09
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 16:09
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 16:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-04 16:00
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.21%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -10.51%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -12.46%E -4.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.64%E -5.82%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 16:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 15:59
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.43%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 16:00
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -13.85%E -7.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -11.02%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -15.62%E -8.18%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -18.65%E -6.22%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -19.63%E -7.01%K -10.91%G +0.000%21.4%2026-04-04 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-04-04 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-04-04 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-04-04 16:00
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-04-04 16:00
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%2.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-04-04 16:10