Language:English
Leuven v Standard Liege
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leuven (Local)
Prediction 35.68%2.80fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.683%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.98%35.62%35.76%36.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.602.602.7540.00%38.51%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Standard Liege (Visit)
Prediction 36.81%2.72fair odd
EV -0.242%
Edge -0.089%
Kelly -0.142%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.75%36.95%36.78%38.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.512.502.7142.55%39.91%40.00%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.51%3.64fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -0.901%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%27.43%27.46%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.353.5232.26%30.03%29.85%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leuven (Local): 35.68%; Standard Liege (Visit): 36.81%; Draw: 27.51%. For Standard Liege (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.71, with an expected value of -0.242%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -1.88%E -0.683%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.92%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -1.88%E -0.683%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.92%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -1.88%E -0.683%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.92%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.75%EV -3.31%E -1.22%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.75%EV -0.242%E -0.089%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.71%EV -3.31%E -1.22%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.80%EV -3.19%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.17%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%EV -3.66%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%EV -7.24%E -2.87%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%EV -3.66%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%EV -7.24%E -2.87%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.66%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.98%EV -4.73%E -1.77%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.28%EV -12.76%E -5.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.74%EV -10.05%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 18:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.18%EV -7.60%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -7.02%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -6.16%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -6.52%E -2.49%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 09:39 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.52%E -2.49%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -6.50%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:32 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 09:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.81%EV -8.71%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 09:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.87%EV -10.55%E -4.34%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.51%EV -10.08%E -4.00%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.53%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 18:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -13.35%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -13.35%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.06%EV -13.49%E -5.74%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |