Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leuven v Standard Liege

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 18:45 UTC

Score final : Leuven 1–2 Standard Liege

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leuven (Local)

Prévision 35.68%2.80cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.683%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.98%35.62%35.76%36.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.602.602.7540.00%38.51%38.46%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Standard Liege (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.81%2.72cote équitable
EV -0.242%
Avantage -0.089%
Kelly -0.142%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.75%36.95%36.78%38.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.512.502.7142.55%39.91%40.00%36.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.51%3.64cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -0.901%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.92%27.43%27.46%28.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.353.5232.26%30.03%29.85%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Leuven (Local) : 35.68% ; Standard Liege (Visiteur) : 36.81% ; Match nul : 27.51%. Pour Standard Liege (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.72. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.71, pour une espérance de -0.242% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -1.88%E -0.683%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.92%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -1.88%E -0.683%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.92%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -1.88%E -0.683%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.92%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 18:05
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.75%EV -3.31%E -1.22%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.75%EV -0.242%E -0.089%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 18:40
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.71%EV -3.31%E -1.22%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.80%EV -3.19%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.17%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%EV -3.66%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%EV -7.24%E -2.87%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%EV -3.66%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%EV -7.24%E -2.87%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.66%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.98%EV -4.73%E -1.77%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.28%EV -12.76%E -5.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.74%EV -10.05%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 18:28
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:29
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:05
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:05
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:05
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.18%EV -7.60%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -7.02%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:30
BetUS🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -6.16%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 18:30
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -6.52%E -2.49%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 09:39
Suprabets🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.52%E -2.49%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -6.50%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:32
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:40
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 09:39
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:35
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:38
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:34
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.81%EV -8.71%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:05
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 18:05
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 13:25
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 09:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 18:20
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.87%EV -10.55%E -4.34%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 35.51%EV -10.08%E -4.00%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.53%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 18:29
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 18:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 18:15
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -13.35%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -13.35%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 18:05
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.06%EV -13.49%E -5.74%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-08-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-08-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-08-29 18:40
Matchbook◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-08-29 18:40
Smarkets◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-08-29 18:40
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-08-29 18:25