Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Leuven (Local): 35.68%; Standard Liege (Visitante): 36.81%; Empate: 27.51%. Para Standard Liege (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.72. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.71, con un valor esperado de -0.242%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -1.88%E -0.683%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.92%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -1.88%E -0.683%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.92%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -1.88%E -0.683%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.92%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.75%EV -3.31%E -1.22%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.75%EV -0.242%E -0.089%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.71%EV -3.31%E -1.22%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.80%EV -3.19%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.17%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%EV -3.66%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%EV -7.24%E -2.87%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%EV -3.66%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%EV -7.24%E -2.87%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.66%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.98%EV -4.73%E -1.77%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.28%EV -12.76%E -5.38%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.74%EV -10.05%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 18:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.18%EV -7.60%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -7.02%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -6.16%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -6.52%E -2.49%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 09:39 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.52%E -2.49%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -6.50%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:32 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 09:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.81%EV -8.71%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 09:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.87%EV -10.55%E -4.34%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.51%EV -10.08%E -4.00%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.53%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 18:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.81%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -13.35%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%EV -11.65%E -4.86%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -13.35%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.06%EV -13.49%E -5.74%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |