Language:English
Leuven v Cercle Brugge KSV
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leuven (Local)
Prediction 38.80%2.58fair odd
EV +2.03%
Edge +0.772%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.83%38.72%38.68%39.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.402.6344.44%41.30%41.67%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit)
Prediction 34.84%2.87fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.870%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.43%34.90%34.88%37.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.632.8040.82%38.01%38.02%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.36%3.79fair odd
EV +0.169%
Edge +0.044%
Kelly +0.060%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%26.38%26.44%28.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.453.8030.77%28.82%28.99%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leuven (Local): 38.80%; Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit): 34.84%; Draw: 26.36%. For Leuven (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.72%EV +2.03%E +0.772%K +1.25%G +0.025% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.72%EV +2.03%E +0.772%K +1.25%G +0.025% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.91%EV +0.868%E +0.334%K +0.542%G +0.005% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.35%EV -8.01%E -3.03%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 18:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV +0.868%E +0.334%K +0.542%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -14.63%E -5.97%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 17:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -14.63%E -5.97%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 18:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.86%EV -3.40%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -2.44%E -0.870%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -2.44%E -0.870%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.82%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.07%EV -13.59%E -5.48%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.82%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.07%EV -13.59%E -5.48%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.82%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.07%EV -13.59%E -5.48%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.55%EV -6.12%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.94%EV -6.96%E -2.61%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.21%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.93%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.85%EV -4.18%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV +0.169%E +0.044%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.18%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -3.13%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -3.13%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 18:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 18:34 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.20%EV -5.57%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 18:17 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -2.47%E -0.667%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.79%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.31%EV -9.61%E -4.12%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.28%EV -11.84%E -4.68%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.41%EV -10.90%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -10.00%E -4.31%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -8.36%E -3.18%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -14.33%E -4.41%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 18:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -14.33%E -4.41%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.31% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.31% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.08% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.43% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.82% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23% | 2.9% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |