Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leuven v Cercle Brugge KSV

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 18:46 UTC

Score final : Leuven 1–1 Cercle Brugge KSV

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leuven (Local)

Prévision 38.80%2.58cote équitable
EV +2.03%
Avantage +0.772%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.83%38.72%38.68%39.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.422.402.6344.44%41.30%41.67%38.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.84%2.87cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.870%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.43%34.90%34.88%37.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.632.632.8040.82%38.01%38.02%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.36%3.79cote équitable
EV +0.169%
Avantage +0.044%
Kelly +0.060%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.75%26.38%26.44%28.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.473.453.8030.77%28.82%28.99%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Leuven (Local) : 38.80% ; Cercle Brugge KSV (Visiteur) : 34.84% ; Match nul : 26.36%. Pour Leuven (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.58. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.63, soit une espérance positive de +2.03%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.72%EV +2.03%E +0.772%K +1.25%G +0.025%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.72%EV +2.03%E +0.772%K +1.25%G +0.025%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 18:45
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.91%EV +0.868%E +0.334%K +0.542%G +0.005%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.35%EV -8.01%E -3.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:44
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV +0.868%E +0.334%K +0.542%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:45
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 18:46
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 18:45
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -14.63%E -5.97%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 17:39
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -14.63%E -5.97%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 18:44
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.86%EV -3.40%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -2.44%E -0.870%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 18:44
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:44
BetAnything🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:44
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -2.44%E -0.870%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.82%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.07%EV -13.59%E -5.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.82%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.07%EV -13.59%E -5.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.82%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.07%EV -13.59%E -5.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.55%EV -6.12%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.94%EV -6.96%E -2.61%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.21%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.93%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.85%EV -4.18%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV +0.169%E +0.044%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 18:40
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.18%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:20
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -3.13%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -3.13%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:20
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:35
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:25
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 18:34
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 18:34
Suprabets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.20%EV -5.57%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:17
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -2.47%E -0.667%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:45
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.79%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 18:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.31%EV -9.61%E -4.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.28%EV -11.84%E -4.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.41%EV -10.90%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -10.00%E -4.31%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:45
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -8.36%E -3.18%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 18:25
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -14.33%E -4.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 18:46
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 18:20
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -14.33%E -4.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-12 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.31%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-09-12 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.31%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-09-12 18:45
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-09-12 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.08%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.43%2.3%2026-09-12 18:45
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.82%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%2.9%2026-09-12 18:45
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%3.1%2026-09-12 18:45