Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Leuven v Cercle Brugge KSV

Inizio: 2026-09-12 18:46 UTC

Finale: Leuven 1–1 Cercle Brugge KSV

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Leuven (Casa)

Previsione 38.80%2.58quota equa
EV +2.03%
Vantaggio +0.772%
Kelly +1.25%
Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.83%38.72%38.68%39.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.422.402.6344.44%41.30%41.67%38.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cercle Brugge KSV (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.84%2.87quota equa
EV -2.44%
Vantaggio -0.870%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.43%34.90%34.88%37.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.632.632.8040.82%38.01%38.02%35.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.36%3.79quota equa
EV +0.169%
Vantaggio +0.044%
Kelly +0.060%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.75%26.38%26.44%28.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.473.453.8030.77%28.82%28.99%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Leuven (Casa): 38.80%; Cercle Brugge KSV (Trasferta): 34.84%; Pareggio: 26.36%. Per Leuven (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.58. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.63, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.03%.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.72%EV +2.03%E +0.772%K +1.25%G +0.025%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.72%EV +2.03%E +0.772%K +1.25%G +0.025%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 18:45
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.91%EV +0.868%E +0.334%K +0.542%G +0.005%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.35%EV -8.01%E -3.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:44
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV +0.868%E +0.334%K +0.542%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:45
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 18:46
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 18:45
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -14.63%E -5.97%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 17:39
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -14.63%E -5.97%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 18:44
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.86%EV -3.40%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -2.44%E -0.870%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 18:44
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:44
BetAnything🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:44
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -2.44%E -0.870%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.82%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.07%EV -13.59%E -5.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.82%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.07%EV -13.59%E -5.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.82%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.07%EV -13.59%E -5.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.55%EV -6.12%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.94%EV -6.96%E -2.61%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.21%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.93%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.85%EV -4.18%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV +0.169%E +0.044%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 18:40
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.18%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:20
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -3.13%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -3.13%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:20
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:35
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:25
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 18:34
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 18:34
Suprabets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.20%EV -5.57%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:17
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -2.47%E -0.667%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:45
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -3.79%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 18:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.31%EV -9.61%E -4.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.28%EV -11.84%E -4.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.41%EV -10.90%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -10.00%E -4.31%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:45
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -8.36%E -3.18%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 18:25
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -14.33%E -4.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 18:46
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 18:20
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -14.33%E -4.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-12 18:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.31%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-09-12 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.31%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-09-12 18:45
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-09-12 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.08%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.43%2.3%2026-09-12 18:45
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.82%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%2.9%2026-09-12 18:45
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%3.1%2026-09-12 18:45