Language:English
KV Mechelen v Westerlo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KV Mechelen (Local)
Prediction 44.50%2.25fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.51%44.46%45.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.082.092.1650.25%48.18%47.85%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Westerlo (Visit)
Prediction 29.76%3.36fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.345%
Kelly +0.488%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.31%29.71%29.67%30.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.123.103.4034.48%32.03%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.74%3.88fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.571%
Kelly -0.775%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.49%25.78%25.86%27.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.553.8030.77%28.40%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KV Mechelen (Local): 44.50%; Westerlo (Visit): 29.76%; Draw: 25.74%. For Westerlo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +1.17%E +0.345%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +1.17%E +0.345%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +1.17%E +0.345%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 11:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -5.66%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.19%EV -2.99%E -0.918%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.93%EV -5.52%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59%EV -4.77%E -2.23%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.86%EV -5.00%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -8.33%E -4.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -13.75%E -4.11%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.60%EV -7.00%E -3.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 06:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 07:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 08:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -10.11%E -5.01%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.73%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.30%EV -6.86%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.98%EV -9.12%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 08:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.17%E -0.571%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 08:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -7.44%E -3.58%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -3.46%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 23:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 23:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.33%E -5.02%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.33%E -5.02%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.36%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.02%EV -9.84%E -3.25%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 16:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-03 16:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-31 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-31 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-31 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-31 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -7.44%E -3.58%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 23:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -12.22%E -4.14%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -12.22%E -4.14%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.38%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.35%EV -11.45%E -5.75%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-01 23:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |