StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

KV Mechelen v Westerlo

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 16:15 UTC

Slutresultat: KV Mechelen 0–4 Westerlo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

KV Mechelen (Hemma)

Prognos 44.50%2.25rättvist odds
EV -3.88%
Fördel -1.80%
Kelly -3.35%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.15%44.51%44.46%45.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.992.082.092.1650.25%48.18%47.85%46.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Westerlo (Borta)

Prognos 29.76%3.36rättvist odds
EV +1.17%
Fördel +0.345%
Kelly +0.488%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.31%29.71%29.67%30.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.123.103.4034.48%32.03%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.74%3.88rättvist odds
EV -2.17%
Fördel -0.571%
Kelly -0.775%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.49%25.78%25.86%27.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.523.553.8030.77%28.40%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: KV Mechelen (Hemma): 44.50%; Westerlo (Borta): 29.76%; Oavgjort: 25.74%. För Westerlo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.36. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.40, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.17%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +1.17%E +0.345%K +0.488%G +0.006%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 09:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +1.17%E +0.345%K +0.488%G +0.006%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 09:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +1.17%E +0.345%K +0.488%G +0.006%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 09:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 11:24
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:49
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:49
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -5.66%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.19%EV -2.99%E -0.918%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.93%EV -5.52%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:10
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59%EV -4.77%E -2.23%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.86%EV -5.00%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:13
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:14
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -8.33%E -4.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -13.75%E -4.11%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 09:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.60%EV -7.00%E -3.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 06:58
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 07:00
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 08:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 17:45
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 17:50
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 17:45
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 09:50
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 09:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 09:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -10.11%E -5.01%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 09:50
Suprabets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.73%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.30%EV -6.86%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.98%EV -9.12%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 08:18
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.17%E -0.571%K -0.775%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 08:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 08:15
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -7.44%E -3.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -3.46%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 23:15
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 23:15
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 08:35
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 08:35
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.33%E -5.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.33%E -5.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 09:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.36%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.02%EV -9.84%E -3.25%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 16:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 16:19
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:25
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -7.44%E -3.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 08:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 23:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -12.22%E -4.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -12.22%E -4.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-03 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.38%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 17:10
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 21:35
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-02 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 44.35%EV -11.45%E -5.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-01 23:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%3.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%5.7%2026-09-04 11:05
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%6.2%2026-09-04 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%9.2%2026-09-04 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%9.2%2026-09-04 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%9.2%2026-09-04 10:50