Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KV Mechelen v Westerlo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 16:15 UTC

Score final : KV Mechelen 0–4 Westerlo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KV Mechelen (Local)

Prévision 44.50%2.25cote équitable
EV -3.88%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -3.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%44.51%44.46%45.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.992.082.092.1650.25%48.18%47.85%46.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Westerlo (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.76%3.36cote équitable
EV +1.17%
Avantage +0.345%
Kelly +0.488%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.31%29.71%29.67%30.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.123.103.4034.48%32.03%32.26%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.74%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -0.571%
Kelly -0.775%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.49%25.78%25.86%27.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.523.553.8030.77%28.40%28.17%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : KV Mechelen (Local) : 44.50% ; Westerlo (Visiteur) : 29.76% ; Match nul : 25.74%. Pour Westerlo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.36. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +1.17%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +1.17%E +0.345%K +0.488%G +0.006%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 09:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +1.17%E +0.345%K +0.488%G +0.006%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 09:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +1.17%E +0.345%K +0.488%G +0.006%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 09:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 11:24
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:49
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -1.80%E -0.546%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:49
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -5.66%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.19%EV -2.99%E -0.918%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.93%EV -5.52%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:10
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59%EV -4.77%E -2.23%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.86%EV -5.00%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:13
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:14
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -8.33%E -4.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -13.75%E -4.11%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 09:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.60%EV -7.00%E -3.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 06:58
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 07:00
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 08:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 17:45
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 17:50
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 17:45
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 09:50
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 09:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 09:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -10.11%E -5.01%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -15.04%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 09:50
Suprabets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.73%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.30%EV -6.86%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.98%EV -9.12%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 08:18
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.17%E -0.571%K -0.775%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 08:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 08:15
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -7.44%E -3.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -3.46%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 23:15
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 23:15
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 08:35
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 08:35
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.33%E -5.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.33%E -5.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 09:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.36%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.02%EV -9.84%E -3.25%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 16:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 16:19
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:25
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -7.44%E -3.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 08:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 23:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -12.22%E -4.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -12.22%E -4.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-03 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.38%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -8.61%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 17:10
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 21:35
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-02 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 44.35%EV -11.45%E -5.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -9.89%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-01 23:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%3.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%5.7%2026-09-04 11:05
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%6.2%2026-09-04 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%9.2%2026-09-04 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%9.2%2026-09-04 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%9.2%2026-09-04 10:50