L’École des cotes

KV Mechelen v Sint Truiden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

KV Mechelen (Local)

Prévision 30.95%3.23cote équitable
EV -0.976%
Avantage -0.305%
Kelly -0.443%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.78%30.85%30.94%32.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.003.003.2037.04%33.31%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sint Truiden (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.76%2.34cote équitable
EV -4.64%
Avantage -2.08%
Kelly -3.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.62%42.80%42.79%44.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.152.2350.00%46.65%46.51%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.29%3.80cote équitable
EV -0.082%
Avantage -0.022%
Kelly -0.029%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.00%26.36%26.26%27.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.543.603.8030.30%28.25%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -0.976%E -0.305%K -0.443%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -0.082%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -0.976%E -0.305%K -0.443%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -0.082%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.06%EV -7.64%E -3.54%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.06%EV -7.64%E -3.54%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:14
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:14
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:14
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 30.42%EV -3.14%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.69%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -6.92%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:14
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 19:15
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 19:19
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.49%E -3.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:15
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.49%E -3.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:14
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.49%E -3.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 19:14
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 19:19
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:14
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:14
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:15
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:14
1xBet3.09I 32.36%NM 30.89%EV -4.38%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.38%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.73%EV -2.45%E -0.660%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:45
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 09:14
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -6.55%E -2.17%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -4.81%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:29
Suprabets3.01I 33.22%NM 30.50%EV -6.86%E -2.28%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -7.64%E -3.54%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:23
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:20
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:31
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.62%EV -5.07%E -2.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:20
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.62%EV -5.07%E -2.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:19
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -11.49%E -5.55%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.66%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 09:14
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 09:14
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 09:15
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:14
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:14
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:19
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 20:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:15
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:14
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:14
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:15
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 20:15
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 20:19
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.94%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 20:23
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.88%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:15
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.88%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-24 02:00
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.81%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 20:19
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -11.81%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -11.49%E -5.55%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 22:59
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 19:19
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 19:19
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -14.90%E -5.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 19:15
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -16.45%E -6.09%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.78%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.54%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 20:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 31.12%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%6.0%2026-04-24 00:25
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 30.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%10.8%2026-04-23 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 18.03%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%84.8%2026-04-23 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 18.03%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%84.8%2026-04-23 22:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 18.03%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%84.8%2026-04-23 22:10