La escuela de los momios

KV Mechelen v Sint Truiden

Inicio: 2026-04-26 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

KV Mechelen (Local)

Predicción 30.95%3.23momio equitativo
EV -0.976%
Ventaja -0.305%
Kelly -0.443%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.78%30.85%30.94%32.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.003.003.2037.04%33.31%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sint Truiden (Visitante)

Predicción 42.76%2.34momio equitativo
EV -4.64%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -3.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.62%42.80%42.79%44.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2350.00%46.65%46.51%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.29%3.80momio equitativo
EV -0.082%
Ventaja -0.022%
Kelly -0.029%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%26.36%26.26%27.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.543.603.8030.30%28.25%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -0.976%E -0.305%K -0.443%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -0.082%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -0.976%E -0.305%K -0.443%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -0.082%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.06%EV -7.64%E -3.54%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.06%EV -7.64%E -3.54%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:14
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:14
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:14
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 30.42%EV -3.14%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.69%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -6.92%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:14
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 19:15
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 19:19
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.49%E -3.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:15
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.49%E -3.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:14
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.49%E -3.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 19:14
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 19:19
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:14
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:14
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:15
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:14
1xBet3.09I 32.36%NM 30.89%EV -4.38%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.38%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.73%EV -2.45%E -0.660%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:45
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 09:14
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -6.55%E -2.17%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -4.81%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:29
Suprabets3.01I 33.22%NM 30.50%EV -6.86%E -2.28%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -7.64%E -3.54%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:23
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:20
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:31
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.62%EV -5.07%E -2.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:20
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.62%EV -5.07%E -2.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:19
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -11.49%E -5.55%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.66%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 09:14
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 09:14
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 09:15
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:14
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:14
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:19
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 20:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:15
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:14
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:14
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:15
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 20:15
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 20:19
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.94%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 20:23
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.88%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:15
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.88%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-24 02:00
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.81%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 20:19
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -11.81%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -11.49%E -5.55%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 22:59
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 19:19
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 19:19
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -14.90%E -5.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 19:15
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -16.45%E -6.09%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.78%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.54%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 20:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 31.12%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%6.0%2026-04-24 00:25
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 30.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%10.8%2026-04-23 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 18.03%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%84.8%2026-04-23 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 18.03%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%84.8%2026-04-23 22:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 18.03%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%84.8%2026-04-23 22:10