مدرسة الاحتمالات

KV Mechelen v Sint Truiden

البداية: 2026-04-26 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

KV Mechelen (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.95%3.23السعر العادل
EV -0.976%
الأفضلية -0.305%
Kelly -0.443%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.78%30.85%30.94%32.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.003.003.2037.04%33.31%33.33%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sint Truiden (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.76%2.34السعر العادل
EV -4.64%
الأفضلية -2.08%
Kelly -3.78%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.62%42.80%42.79%44.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.142.152.2350.00%46.65%46.51%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.29%3.80السعر العادل
EV -0.082%
الأفضلية -0.022%
Kelly -0.029%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.00%26.36%26.26%27.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.543.603.8030.30%28.25%27.78%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -0.976%E -0.305%K -0.443%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -0.082%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -0.976%E -0.305%K -0.443%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -0.082%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.06%EV -7.64%E -3.54%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.06%EV -7.64%E -3.54%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:14
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:14
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.52%E -0.801%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:14
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 30.42%EV -3.14%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.69%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -6.92%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:14
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 19:15
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 19:19
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.49%E -3.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:15
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.49%E -3.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:14
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.49%E -3.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 19:14
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 19:19
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:14
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:14
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:15
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.07%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:14
1xBet3.09I 32.36%NM 30.89%EV -4.38%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.38%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.73%EV -2.45%E -0.660%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:45
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 09:14
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -6.55%E -2.17%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -4.81%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:29
Suprabets3.01I 33.22%NM 30.50%EV -6.86%E -2.28%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -7.64%E -3.54%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:23
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:20
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:31
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.62%EV -5.07%E -2.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:20
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.62%EV -5.07%E -2.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:19
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -11.49%E -5.55%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.66%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 09:14
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 09:14
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 09:15
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:14
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:14
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:19
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 20:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:15
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:14
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:14
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:15
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 20:15
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 20:19
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.94%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 20:23
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.88%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:15
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.88%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-24 02:00
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.81%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 20:19
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -11.81%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -11.49%E -5.55%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 22:59
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 19:19
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 19:19
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -14.90%E -5.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 19:15
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -16.45%E -6.09%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.78%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.54%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 20:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 31.12%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%6.0%2026-04-24 00:25
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 30.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%10.8%2026-04-23 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 18.03%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%84.8%2026-04-23 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 18.03%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%84.8%2026-04-23 22:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 18.03%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%1.32I 75.76%NM 40.98%84.8%2026-04-23 22:10