Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.20
assuming max odds 2.44
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KV Mechelen (Local): 32.04%; Anderlecht (Visit): 40.28%; Draw: 27.67%. For KV Mechelen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.54%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV +2.54%E +0.795%K +1.16%G +0.029% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV +2.54%E +0.795%K +1.16%G +0.029% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.54%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.54%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -12.18%E -5.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.54%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -12.18%E -5.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -12.18%E -5.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -0.340%E -0.109%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.16%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.72%EV -6.75%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -0.661%E -0.213%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -0.661%E -0.213%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.77%EV -12.58%E -5.80%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -0.661%E -0.213%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -13.39%E -6.23%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -1.30%E -0.423%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.57%EV -1.71%E -0.699%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -8.13%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -1.30%E -0.423%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.57%EV -1.71%E -0.699%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -8.13%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -2.26%E -0.742%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -15.40%E -7.33%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.08%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.14%EV -6.14%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 17:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 04:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -6.14%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -14.60%E -6.89%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.86%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.06%EV -2.51%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.08%EV -0.939%E -0.262%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -4.54%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 17:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.84%E -4.08%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -0.386%E -0.107%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-15 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.31%EV -11.24%E -4.06%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.32%EV -10.57%E -4.76%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.37%EV -9.52%E -2.91%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -13.39%E -6.23%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.36%EV -12.58%E -5.80%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -12.84%E -4.08%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-15 17:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -13.39%E -6.23%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-15 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -19.43%E -9.72%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -20.31%E -7.05%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-03-15 08:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -15.08%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59% | 2.1% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |