A Escola das Odds

KV Mechelen v Anderlecht

Início: 2026-03-15 17:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

KV Mechelen (Local)

Previsão 32.04%3.12odd justa
EV +2.54%
Vantagem +0.795%
Kelly +1.16%
Crescimento +0.029%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.49%31.95%32.04%33.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.652.962.953.2037.74%33.84%33.90%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anderlecht (Visitante)

Previsão 40.28%2.48odd justa
EV -1.71%
Vantagem -0.699%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.41%40.40%40.23%43.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.272.302.4450.00%44.14%43.48%40.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.67%3.61odd justa
EV -0.386%
Vantagem -0.107%
Kelly -0.148%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.97%27.65%27.73%29.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.343.403.6034.72%29.90%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV +2.54%E +0.795%K +1.16%G +0.029%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 17:25
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV +2.54%E +0.795%K +1.16%G +0.029%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 17:25
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.54%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 17:25
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.54%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 17:25
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -12.18%E -5.59%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.54%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:25
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:25
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:25
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -12.18%E -5.59%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:25
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -12.18%E -5.59%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:25
Pinnacle3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -0.340%E -0.109%K -0.161%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.16%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.72%EV -6.75%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 17:15
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -0.661%E -0.213%K -0.315%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:05
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -0.661%E -0.213%K -0.315%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.77%EV -12.58%E -5.80%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -0.661%E -0.213%K -0.315%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -13.39%E -6.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 16:55
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -1.30%E -0.423%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.57%EV -1.71%E -0.699%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -8.13%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 16:50
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -1.30%E -0.423%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.57%EV -1.71%E -0.699%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -8.13%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 16:50
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -2.26%E -0.742%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -15.40%E -7.33%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 17:25
Suprabets3.01I 33.22%NM 31.08%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.14%EV -6.14%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 17:09
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:10
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 04:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 17:10
Marathon Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -6.14%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 17:20
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -14.60%E -6.89%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 17:25
1xBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.86%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.06%EV -2.51%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.08%EV -0.939%E -0.262%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 17:25
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 17:10
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 17:10
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -4.54%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 17:20
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:20
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:20
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 17:23
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 17:25
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 17:25
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 17:05
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 17:05
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 17:10
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 17:05
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 16:50
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.84%E -4.08%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 17:10
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 17:25
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 17:25
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -0.386%E -0.107%K -0.148%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 16:55
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 17:10
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 17:15
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 17:15
Betclic (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 32.31%EV -11.24%E -4.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.32%EV -10.57%E -4.76%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.37%EV -9.52%E -2.91%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 17:05
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 16:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -13.39%E -6.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 16:50
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.36%EV -12.58%E -5.80%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -12.84%E -4.08%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 17:19
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -13.39%E -6.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-15 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -19.43%E -9.72%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -20.31%E -7.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%21.8%2026-03-15 08:55
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -15.08%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 16:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-03-15 17:25
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%2.1%2026-03-15 17:25
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-03-15 17:10