La escuela de los momiosEspañol
KV Mechelen v Anderlecht
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
KV Mechelen (Local)
Predicción 32.04%3.12momio equitativo
EV +2.54%
Ventaja +0.795%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.49%31.95%32.04%33.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.962.953.2037.74%33.84%33.90%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Anderlecht (Visitante)
Predicción 40.28%2.48momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.699%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.41%40.40%40.23%43.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.272.302.4450.00%44.14%43.48%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.67%3.61momio equitativo
EV -0.386%
Ventaja -0.107%
Kelly -0.148%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.97%27.65%27.73%29.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.403.6034.72%29.90%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV +2.54%E +0.795%K +1.16%G +0.029% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV +2.54%E +0.795%K +1.16%G +0.029% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.54%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -10.17%E -4.56%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.54%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -12.18%E -5.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.54%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -12.18%E -5.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV +0.941%E +0.299%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -12.18%E -5.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -0.340%E -0.109%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.16%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.72%EV -6.75%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -0.661%E -0.213%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -0.661%E -0.213%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.77%EV -12.58%E -5.80%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -0.661%E -0.213%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -13.39%E -6.23%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -1.30%E -0.423%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.57%EV -1.71%E -0.699%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -8.13%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -1.30%E -0.423%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.57%EV -1.71%E -0.699%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -8.13%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -2.26%E -0.742%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -15.40%E -7.33%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Suprabets | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.08%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.14%EV -6.14%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 17:09 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 04:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -6.14%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -14.60%E -6.89%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.86%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.06%EV -2.51%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.08%EV -0.939%E -0.262%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -4.54%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 17:23 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.84%E -4.08%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -0.386%E -0.107%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.15%E -0.901%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 17:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-15 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.31%EV -11.24%E -4.06%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.32%EV -10.57%E -4.76%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.37%EV -9.52%E -2.91%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -13.39%E -6.23%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.36%EV -12.58%E -5.80%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -12.84%E -4.08%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-15 17:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -13.39%E -6.23%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-15 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -19.43%E -9.72%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -20.31%E -7.05%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-03-15 08:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -15.08%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59% | 2.1% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |