Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KV Kortrijk v Charleroi

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 16:17 UTC

Final: KV Kortrijk 1–3 Charleroi

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KV Kortrijk (Local)

Prediction 30.28%3.30fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +0.868%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.23%30.16%30.34%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.103.103.4035.09%32.29%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charleroi (Visit)

Prediction 41.97%2.38fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.76%42.09%41.90%44.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.202.3150.00%46.05%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.417%
Kelly -0.580%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.61%27.75%27.75%28.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.303.5532.26%30.10%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KV Kortrijk (Local): 30.28%; Charleroi (Visit): 41.97%; Draw: 27.75%. For KV Kortrijk (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +2.95%E +0.868%K +1.23%G +0.036%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -9.35%E -4.33%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.48%E -0.417%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +2.95%E +0.868%K +1.23%G +0.036%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -9.35%E -4.33%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.48%E -0.417%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +2.95%E +0.868%K +1.23%G +0.036%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -9.35%E -4.33%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.48%E -0.417%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 16:15
1xBet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 29.07%EV +1.13%E +0.340%K +0.485%G +0.006%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.72%EV -6.20%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 16:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -0.077%E -0.023%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -0.077%E -0.023%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -0.077%E -0.023%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:15
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -0.077%E -0.023%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 15:50
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 15:47
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:15
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -13.13%E -6.34%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 15:50
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -13.97%E -6.81%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -13.97%E -6.81%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.62%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.89%EV -3.05%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.31%E -0.657%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.63%EV -5.15%E -2.28%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.63%EV -5.15%E -2.28%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:14
BetAnything🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.63%EV -5.15%E -2.28%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:15
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:15
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -13.13%E -6.34%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.19%EV -15.22%E -7.54%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -16.06%E -8.03%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -16.06%E -8.03%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.74%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.31%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:13
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 15:59
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:15
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:15
theScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 16:15
Suprabets🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.85%EV -8.25%E -2.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.73%EV -5.99%E -2.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.41%EV -5.37%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 15:50
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:09
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 15:55
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 16:14
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:10
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:10
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:10
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 30.50%EV -9.77%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.80%EV -9.25%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -10.67%E -3.62%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -10.67%E -3.62%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 16:15
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 15:55
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 16:10
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 16:05
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -13.70%E -4.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-29 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-08-29 16:15
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.61%1.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-08-29 16:00