Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

KV Kortrijk v Charleroi

Inicio: 2026-08-29 16:17 UTC

Final: KV Kortrijk 1–3 Charleroi

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

KV Kortrijk (Local)

Predicción 30.28%3.30momio equitativo
EV +2.95%
Ventaja +0.868%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.036%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.23%30.16%30.34%31.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.103.103.4035.09%32.29%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Charleroi (Visitante)

Predicción 41.97%2.38momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -2.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.76%42.09%41.90%44.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.202.3150.00%46.05%45.45%43.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.75%3.60momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.417%
Kelly -0.580%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.61%27.75%27.75%28.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.323.303.5532.26%30.10%30.30%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: KV Kortrijk (Local): 30.28%; Charleroi (Visitante): 41.97%; Empate: 27.75%. Para KV Kortrijk (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.30. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.95%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +2.95%E +0.868%K +1.23%G +0.036%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -9.35%E -4.33%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.48%E -0.417%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +2.95%E +0.868%K +1.23%G +0.036%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -9.35%E -4.33%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.48%E -0.417%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +2.95%E +0.868%K +1.23%G +0.036%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -9.35%E -4.33%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.48%E -0.417%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 16:15
1xBet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 29.07%EV +1.13%E +0.340%K +0.485%G +0.006%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.72%EV -6.20%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 16:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -0.077%E -0.023%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -0.077%E -0.023%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -0.077%E -0.023%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:15
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -0.077%E -0.023%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 15:50
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 15:47
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:15
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -13.13%E -6.34%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 15:50
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -13.97%E -6.81%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -13.97%E -6.81%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.62%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.89%EV -3.05%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.31%E -0.657%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.63%EV -5.15%E -2.28%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.63%EV -5.15%E -2.28%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:14
BetAnything🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.63%EV -5.15%E -2.28%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:15
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:15
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -13.13%E -6.34%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.19%EV -15.22%E -7.54%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -16.06%E -8.03%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -16.06%E -8.03%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.74%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.31%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:13
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 15:59
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:15
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:15
theScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 16:15
Suprabets🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.85%EV -8.25%E -2.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.73%EV -5.99%E -2.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.41%EV -5.37%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 15:50
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:09
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 15:55
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 16:14
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:10
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:10
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:10
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 30.50%EV -9.77%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.80%EV -9.25%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -10.67%E -3.62%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -10.67%E -3.62%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 16:15
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 15:55
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 16:10
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 16:05
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -13.70%E -4.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-29 16:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-08-29 16:15
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.61%1.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-08-29 16:00