Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KV Kortrijk v Charleroi

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 16:17 UTC

Score final : KV Kortrijk 1–3 Charleroi

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KV Kortrijk (Local)

Prévision 30.28%3.30cote équitable
EV +2.95%
Avantage +0.868%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.23%30.16%30.34%31.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.103.103.4035.09%32.29%32.26%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Charleroi (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.97%2.38cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -2.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.76%42.09%41.90%44.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.202.3150.00%46.05%45.45%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.75%3.60cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.417%
Kelly -0.580%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.61%27.75%27.75%28.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.323.303.5532.26%30.10%30.30%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : KV Kortrijk (Local) : 30.28% ; Charleroi (Visiteur) : 41.97% ; Match nul : 27.75%. Pour KV Kortrijk (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.30. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +2.95%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +2.95%E +0.868%K +1.23%G +0.036%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -9.35%E -4.33%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.48%E -0.417%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +2.95%E +0.868%K +1.23%G +0.036%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -9.35%E -4.33%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.48%E -0.417%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV +2.95%E +0.868%K +1.23%G +0.036%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -9.35%E -4.33%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -1.48%E -0.417%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 16:15
1xBet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 29.07%EV +1.13%E +0.340%K +0.485%G +0.006%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.72%EV -6.20%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 16:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -0.077%E -0.023%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -0.077%E -0.023%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -0.077%E -0.023%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:15
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -0.077%E -0.023%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 15:50
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 15:47
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:15
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -13.13%E -6.34%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 15:50
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -13.97%E -6.81%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -3.10%E -0.970%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -13.97%E -6.81%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.62%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.89%EV -3.05%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.31%E -0.657%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.63%EV -5.15%E -2.28%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.63%EV -5.15%E -2.28%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:14
BetAnything🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.63%EV -5.15%E -2.28%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:15
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:15
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -13.13%E -6.34%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.19%EV -15.22%E -7.54%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -16.06%E -8.03%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -16.06%E -8.03%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.74%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.31%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:13
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 15:59
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:15
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:15
theScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 16:15
Suprabets🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.85%EV -8.25%E -2.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.73%EV -5.99%E -2.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.41%EV -5.37%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 15:50
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:09
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 15:55
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 16:14
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:10
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:10
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:10
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 30.50%EV -9.77%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.80%EV -9.25%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -10.67%E -3.62%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -10.67%E -3.62%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 16:15
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 15:55
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 16:10
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 16:05
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -13.70%E -4.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-29 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-08-29 16:15
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.61%1.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-08-29 16:00