Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.82
assuming max odds 4.95
assuming max odds 3.72
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gent (Local): 53.27%; Standard Liege (Visit): 20.63%; Draw: 26.10%. For Standard Liege (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.10%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.54%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.50%EV +2.10%E +0.425%K +0.532%G +0.011% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV -2.90%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.86%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04%EV -0.992%E -0.207%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.86%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04%EV -0.992%E -0.207%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.86%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04%EV -0.992%E -0.207%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 10:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.14%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -3.05%E -0.650%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.73%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.05%E -0.650%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -3.42%E -0.925%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -4.11%E -2.28%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.12%EV -4.09%E -0.879%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -4.11%E -2.28%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.12%EV -4.09%E -0.879%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.82%EV -3.58%E -1.98%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.69%EV -4.70%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 12:48 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -3.42%E -0.925%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.43%EV -6.24%E -3.55%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.43%EV -6.24%E -3.55%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 07:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 07:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 07:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.29%EV -7.60%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -8.37%E -4.87%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 15:22 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.11%E -2.28%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 11:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.11%E -2.28%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 11:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.11%E -2.28%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 10:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.64%EV -11.57%E -6.97%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.11%E -2.28%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 11:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -4.73%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 07:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -7.84%E -4.53%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-18 10:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -7.84%E -4.53%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-18 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -7.84%E -4.53%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-18 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.30%EV -8.37%E -4.87%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-18 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.30%EV -8.37%E -4.87%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-18 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.30%EV -8.37%E -4.87%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-18 10:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -7.84%E -4.53%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.69%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -10.69%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.71%EV -12.10%E -7.34%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -11.31%E -2.63%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -12.34%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.24%EV -9.42%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 12:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.37%E -4.87%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -13.37%E -3.18%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.65%EV -9.97%E -5.90%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -13.37%E -3.18%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-18 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -4.11%E -2.28%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -15.43%E -3.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-17 05:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -17.49%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-18 12:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.47% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.47% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.47% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.47% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.88% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |