L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Gent v Standard Liege

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-18 18:45 UTC

Score final : Gent 2–1 Standard Liege

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gent (Local)

Prévision 53.27%1.88cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -3.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.80%53.19%53.35%54.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.751.751.8260.61%57.12%57.14%54.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Standard Liege (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.63%4.85cote équitable
EV +2.10%
Avantage +0.425%
Kelly +0.532%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.50%20.64%20.64%22.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.504.504.9525.00%22.23%22.22%20.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.10%3.83cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -0.779%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.23%26.17%26.02%27.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.493.503.7230.30%28.64%28.57%26.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gent (Local) : 53.27% ; Standard Liege (Visiteur) : 20.63% ; Match nul : 26.10%. Pour Standard Liege (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.85. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.95, soit une espérance positive de +2.10%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.54%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.50%EV +2.10%E +0.425%K +0.532%G +0.011%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV -2.90%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-18 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.86%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04%EV -0.992%E -0.207%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.86%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04%EV -0.992%E -0.207%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.86%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04%EV -0.992%E -0.207%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.14%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -3.05%E -0.650%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.73%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.05%E -0.650%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -3.42%E -0.925%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -4.11%E -2.28%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.12%EV -4.09%E -0.879%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:29
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -4.11%E -2.28%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.12%EV -4.09%E -0.879%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:30
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.82%EV -3.58%E -1.98%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.69%EV -4.70%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 12:48
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -3.42%E -0.925%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.43%EV -6.24%E -3.55%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:30
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.43%EV -6.24%E -3.55%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 07:55
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 07:55
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 07:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.29%EV -7.60%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:29
Suprabets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -8.37%E -4.87%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:22
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.11%E -2.28%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 11:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.11%E -2.28%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 11:09
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.11%E -2.28%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 10:49
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:30
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:30
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:20
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:25
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:29
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 15:20
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.64%EV -11.57%E -6.97%K -17.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.11%E -2.28%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 11:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -4.73%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 07:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 15:29
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -7.84%E -4.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 10:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -7.84%E -4.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -7.84%E -4.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.30%EV -8.37%E -4.87%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.30%EV -8.37%E -4.87%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.30%EV -8.37%E -4.87%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 10:20
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -7.84%E -4.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.69%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -10.69%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.71%EV -12.10%E -7.34%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -11.31%E -2.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 15:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -12.34%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.24%EV -9.42%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.37%E -4.87%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -13.37%E -3.18%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.65%EV -9.97%E -5.90%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -13.37%E -3.18%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -4.11%E -2.28%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -15.43%E -3.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 05:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -17.49%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 12:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.88%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-09-18 15:10