Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.91
assuming max odds 4.30
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gent (Local): 50.88%; KV Mechelen (Visit): 23.64%; Draw: 25.48%. For KV Mechelen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.64%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV +1.64%E +0.381%K +0.496%G +0.008% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV +1.64%E +0.381%K +0.496%G +0.008% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV +1.64%E +0.381%K +0.496%G +0.008% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.62%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV +0.455%E +0.107%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.17%E -0.834%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.62%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV +0.455%E +0.107%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.17%E -0.834%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.41%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV +0.455%E +0.107%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.84%EV -4.70%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -0.727%E -0.173%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -0.727%E -0.173%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.30%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -2.15%E -0.518%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.65%EV -5.21%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.41%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.77%EV -7.50%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -4.27%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -7.25%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -3.17%E -0.834%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 16:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -9.43%E -5.30%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.52%EV -9.94%E -5.62%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -11.47%E -6.59%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.84%EV -5.93%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:56 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.47%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.47%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -2.82%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 14:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -10.45%E -5.94%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.26%EV -11.97%E -6.92%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.09%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-06 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -15.91%E -4.82%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 16:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.66%EV -12.48%E -7.26%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -15.91%E -4.82%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 12:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.62%EV -9.43%E -5.30%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -12.55%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -9.43%E -5.30%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.73%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.29%EV -11.97%E -6.92%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -17.27%E -4.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -23.55%E -7.85%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-06 15:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.21% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 16:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 15:25 |