La escuela de los momios

Gent v KV Mechelen

Inicio: 2026-04-06 16:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gent (Local)

Predicción 50.88%1.97momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -3.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.29%50.89%50.92%52.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.821.831.9158.14%54.90%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

KV Mechelen (Visitante)

Predicción 23.64%4.23momio equitativo
EV +1.64%
Ventaja +0.381%
Kelly +0.496%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.16%23.58%23.62%24.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.983.954.3028.57%25.13%25.32%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.48%3.92momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -0.834%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.91%25.53%25.46%27.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.613.653.8033.33%27.73%27.40%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV +1.64%E +0.381%K +0.496%G +0.008%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 16:20
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV +1.64%E +0.381%K +0.496%G +0.008%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV +1.64%E +0.381%K +0.496%G +0.008%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 16:20
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.62%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV +0.455%E +0.107%K +0.140%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.17%E -0.834%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 16:20
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.62%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV +0.455%E +0.107%K +0.140%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.17%E -0.834%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 16:20
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.41%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV +0.455%E +0.107%K +0.140%G +0.001%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.84%EV -4.70%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -0.727%E -0.173%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -0.727%E -0.173%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 16:20
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.30%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -2.15%E -0.518%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.65%EV -5.21%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:15
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 15:25
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 15:25
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 16:20
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 16:20
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 16:20
Suprabets1.82I 54.95%NM 51.41%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.77%EV -7.50%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:29
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 16:20
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 16:20
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 16:20
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -4.27%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -7.25%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 16:15
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -3.17%E -0.834%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 15:35
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 16:08
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 15:25
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -9.43%E -5.30%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 16:20
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.52%EV -9.94%E -5.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -11.47%E -6.59%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.84%EV -5.93%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 16:04
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:56
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 15:45
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.47%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 16:20
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.47%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 16:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -2.82%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 14:30
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 14:29
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:15
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:14
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 14:30
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:44
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 16:10
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 16:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -10.45%E -5.94%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 16:10
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:20
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.26%EV -11.97%E -6.92%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.09%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-06 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 11:20
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -15.91%E -4.82%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 16:09
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-06 16:10
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.66%EV -12.48%E -7.26%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -15.91%E -4.82%K -6.92%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-06 16:10
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 12:50
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 16:15
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.62%EV -9.43%E -5.30%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -12.55%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 15:25
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -9.43%E -5.30%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.73%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.29%EV -11.97%E -6.92%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -17.27%E -4.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -23.55%E -7.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-06 15:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-06 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-06 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-06 16:15
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-06 16:10
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.21%1.7%2026-04-06 16:15
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-04-06 15:25