L’École des cotes

Gent v KV Mechelen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gent (Local)

Prévision 50.88%1.97cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -3.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.29%50.89%50.92%52.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.821.831.9158.14%54.90%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KV Mechelen (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.64%4.23cote équitable
EV +1.64%
Avantage +0.381%
Kelly +0.496%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.16%23.58%23.62%24.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.983.954.3028.57%25.13%25.32%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.48%3.92cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -0.834%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.91%25.53%25.46%27.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.613.653.8033.33%27.73%27.40%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV +1.64%E +0.381%K +0.496%G +0.008%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 16:20
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV +1.64%E +0.381%K +0.496%G +0.008%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV +1.64%E +0.381%K +0.496%G +0.008%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 16:20
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.62%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV +0.455%E +0.107%K +0.140%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.17%E -0.834%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 16:20
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.62%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV +0.455%E +0.107%K +0.140%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.17%E -0.834%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 16:20
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.41%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV +0.455%E +0.107%K +0.140%G +0.001%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.84%EV -4.70%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -0.727%E -0.173%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -0.727%E -0.173%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 16:20
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.30%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -2.15%E -0.518%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.65%EV -5.21%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:15
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 15:25
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 15:25
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 16:20
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 16:20
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 16:20
Suprabets1.82I 54.95%NM 51.41%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.77%EV -7.50%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:29
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 16:20
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 16:20
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.09%E -0.754%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 16:20
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -4.27%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -7.25%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 16:15
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -3.17%E -0.834%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 15:35
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 16:08
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 15:25
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -9.43%E -5.30%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 16:20
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.52%EV -9.94%E -5.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -11.47%E -6.59%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.84%EV -5.93%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 16:04
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:56
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 15:45
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.47%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 16:20
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.47%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 16:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -2.82%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 14:30
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 14:29
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:15
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:14
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 14:30
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:44
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 16:10
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 16:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -10.45%E -5.94%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 16:10
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:20
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.26%EV -11.97%E -6.92%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.09%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-06 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 11:20
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -15.91%E -4.82%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 16:09
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-06 16:10
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.66%EV -12.48%E -7.26%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -15.91%E -4.82%K -6.92%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-06 16:10
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 12:50
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 16:15
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.62%EV -9.43%E -5.30%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -12.55%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 15:25
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -9.43%E -5.30%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.73%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.29%EV -11.97%E -6.92%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -17.27%E -4.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -23.55%E -7.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-06 15:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-06 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-06 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-06 16:15
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-06 16:10
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.21%1.7%2026-04-06 16:15
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-04-06 15:25