Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gent v Genk

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 16:30 UTC

Final: Gent 1–1 Genk

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gent (Local)

Prediction 47.09%2.12fair odd
EV -0.175%
Edge -0.083%
Kelly -0.156%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%47.02%47.10%48.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.992.002.1254.64%50.16%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Genk (Visit)

Prediction 27.00%3.70fair odd
EV +1.52%
Edge +0.405%
Kelly +0.552%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.32%27.05%26.87%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.353.7633.33%29.93%29.85%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.91%3.86fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.548%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%25.93%26.03%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.533.553.8033.33%28.30%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gent (Local): 47.09%; Genk (Visit): 27.00%; Draw: 25.91%. For Genk (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.13%EV -5.35%E -2.66%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.73%EV +1.52%E +0.405%K +0.552%G +0.008%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-31 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -0.098%E -0.026%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -0.098%E -0.026%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.80%E -0.777%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
Suprabets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.24%E -3.67%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -3.61%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 16:06
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -0.990%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.01%EV -3.35%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -6.77%E -3.42%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.42%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -6.77%E -3.42%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.42%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -7.24%E -3.67%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 15:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 16:19
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:19
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.84%EV -9.59%E -5.00%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.86%EV -7.66%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.30%EV -5.94%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 15:40
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -11.95%E -6.39%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.49%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -15.79%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-31 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -0.175%E -0.083%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -0.175%E -0.083%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 16:20
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 16:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -9.12%E -4.73%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82%EV -12.42%E -6.68%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -15.79%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -2.06%E -0.990%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 16:00
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -3.94%E -1.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -14.95%E -4.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 16:00
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -16.30%E -5.26%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 16:00
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -16.30%E -5.26%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 16:00
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -16.30%E -5.26%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -13.83%E -7.56%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -16.30%E -5.26%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -22.26%E -7.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-31 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -17.65%E -5.79%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-31 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -7.71%E -3.93%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -17.65%E -5.79%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-31 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -19.00%E -6.33%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-31 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -19.00%E -6.33%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-31 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-31 16:20
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-05-31 16:20