L’École des cotes

Gent v Genk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 16:30 UTC

Score final : Gent 1–1 Genk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gent (Local)

Prévision 47.09%2.12cote équitable
EV -0.175%
Avantage -0.083%
Kelly -0.156%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.73%47.02%47.10%48.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.992.002.1254.64%50.16%50.00%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Genk (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.00%3.70cote équitable
EV +1.52%
Avantage +0.405%
Kelly +0.552%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.32%27.05%26.87%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.353.7633.33%29.93%29.85%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.91%3.86cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.404%
Kelly -0.548%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.29%25.93%26.03%27.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.533.553.8033.33%28.30%28.17%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.13%EV -5.35%E -2.66%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.73%EV +1.52%E +0.405%K +0.552%G +0.008%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-31 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -0.098%E -0.026%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 16:20
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -0.098%E -0.026%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.80%E -0.777%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
Suprabets1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.24%E -3.67%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -3.61%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 16:06
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -0.990%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.01%EV -3.35%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -6.77%E -3.42%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.42%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 16:20
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -6.77%E -3.42%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.42%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -7.24%E -3.67%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 15:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 16:19
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:19
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.84%EV -9.59%E -5.00%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.86%EV -7.66%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.30%EV -5.94%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 15:40
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 15:40
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 16:20
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 16:10
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -11.95%E -6.39%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 16:20
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.49%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -15.79%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-31 16:20
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -0.175%E -0.083%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 16:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -0.175%E -0.083%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 15:40
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 16:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 16:20
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 16:10
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 16:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -9.12%E -4.73%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 16:10
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82%EV -12.42%E -6.68%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -15.79%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -2.06%E -0.990%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 16:00
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -3.94%E -1.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -14.95%E -4.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 16:00
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -16.30%E -5.26%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 16:00
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -16.30%E -5.26%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 16:00
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -16.30%E -5.26%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -13.83%E -7.56%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -16.30%E -5.26%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -22.26%E -7.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-31 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -17.65%E -5.79%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-31 16:00
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -7.71%E -3.93%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -17.65%E -5.79%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-31 16:00
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -19.00%E -6.33%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-31 16:00
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -19.00%E -6.33%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-31 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-31 16:20
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-05-31 16:20