La escuela de los momios

Gent v Genk

Inicio: 2026-05-31 16:30 UTC

Final: Gent 1–1 Genk

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gent (Local)

Predicción 47.09%2.12momio equitativo
EV -0.175%
Ventaja -0.083%
Kelly -0.156%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%47.02%47.10%48.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.992.002.1254.64%50.16%50.00%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Genk (Visitante)

Predicción 27.00%3.70momio equitativo
EV +1.52%
Ventaja +0.405%
Kelly +0.552%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.32%27.05%26.87%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.353.7633.33%29.93%29.85%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.91%3.86momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.404%
Kelly -0.548%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.29%25.93%26.03%27.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.533.553.8033.33%28.30%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.13%EV -5.35%E -2.66%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.73%EV +1.52%E +0.405%K +0.552%G +0.008%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-31 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -0.098%E -0.026%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 16:20
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -0.098%E -0.026%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.80%E -0.777%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
Suprabets1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.24%E -3.67%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -3.61%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 16:06
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.65%EV -2.06%E -0.990%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.01%EV -3.35%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -6.77%E -3.42%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.42%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 16:20
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -6.77%E -3.42%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.42%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -7.24%E -3.67%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 15:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 16:19
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:19
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.84%EV -9.59%E -5.00%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.86%EV -7.66%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.30%EV -5.94%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 15:40
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 15:40
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 16:20
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 16:10
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -11.95%E -6.39%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 16:20
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.49%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -15.79%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-31 16:20
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -0.175%E -0.083%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 16:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -0.175%E -0.083%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 15:40
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 16:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.47%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 16:20
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 16:10
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 16:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -9.12%E -4.73%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 16:10
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82%EV -12.42%E -6.68%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -15.79%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -2.06%E -0.990%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 16:00
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:00
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -3.94%E -1.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -14.95%E -4.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 16:00
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -16.30%E -5.26%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 16:00
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -16.30%E -5.26%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 16:00
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -16.30%E -5.26%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -13.83%E -7.56%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -16.30%E -5.26%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -22.26%E -7.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-31 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -17.65%E -5.79%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-31 16:00
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -7.71%E -3.93%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -17.65%E -5.79%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-31 16:00
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -19.00%E -6.33%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-31 16:00
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -19.00%E -6.33%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-31 16:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-31 16:20
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-05-31 16:20