Language:English
Genk v Standard Liege
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Genk (Local)
Prediction 56.85%1.76fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -6.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.44%56.83%56.84%58.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.621.621.6865.36%61.58%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Standard Liege (Visit)
Prediction 18.90%5.29fair odd
EV +0.149%
Edge +0.028%
Kelly +0.035%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.24%18.92%18.88%20.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.894.905.3023.26%20.45%20.41%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.25%4.12fair odd
EV -0.555%
Edge -0.135%
Kelly -0.179%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.51%24.25%24.27%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.833.854.1030.30%26.11%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genk (Local): 56.85%; Standard Liege (Visit): 18.90%; Draw: 24.25%. For Standard Liege (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.29. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.149%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.91%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.36%EV +0.149%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV -0.555%E -0.135%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 19:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.91%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.36%EV +0.149%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV -0.555%E -0.135%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -1.74%E -0.335%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.98%E -0.745%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -1.74%E -0.335%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.98%E -0.745%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.03%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.19%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.87%EV -4.39%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.94%EV -3.22%E -0.808%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.19%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.84%EV -4.76%E -0.945%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.97%EV -3.95%E -0.998%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.98%E -0.745%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 19:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 18:48 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -10.75%E -6.85%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.34%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.46%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 21:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.02%EV -11.32%E -7.25%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 19:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.00%EV -11.88%E -7.67%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.00%EV -11.88%E -7.67%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -8.35%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -8.35%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.22%EV -8.07%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 03:13 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 16:17 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 05:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 05:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 05:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 05:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 01:18 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.75%E -6.85%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 09:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.00%EV -11.88%E -7.67%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -11.47%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.34%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -11.47%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-22 17:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -10.75%E -6.85%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.95%EV -11.88%E -7.67%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-22 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -13.02%E -8.51%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -19.96%E -6.05%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.49%EV -11.32%E -7.25%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.13%EV -18.75%E -4.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.38%EV -13.89%E -3.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-22 20:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.20% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.20% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.20% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 07:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.81% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.24% | 11.0% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |