La escuela de los momios

Genk v Standard Liege

Inicio: 2026-04-25 16:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Genk (Local)

Predicción 56.85%1.76momio equitativo
EV -4.49%
Ventaja -2.67%
Kelly -6.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.44%56.83%56.84%58.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.621.621.6865.36%61.58%61.73%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Standard Liege (Visitante)

Predicción 18.90%5.29momio equitativo
EV +0.149%
Ventaja +0.028%
Kelly +0.035%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.24%18.92%18.88%20.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.894.905.3023.26%20.45%20.41%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.25%4.12momio equitativo
EV -0.555%
Ventaja -0.135%
Kelly -0.179%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.51%24.25%24.27%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.833.854.1030.30%26.11%25.97%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.91%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.36%EV +0.149%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV -0.555%E -0.135%K -0.179%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 19:59
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.91%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.36%EV +0.149%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV -0.555%E -0.135%K -0.179%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -1.74%E -0.335%K -0.414%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.98%E -0.745%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -1.74%E -0.335%K -0.414%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.98%E -0.745%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:00
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:00
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:00
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.03%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:00
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 20:00
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 20:00
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 20:00
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.19%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.87%EV -4.39%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.94%EV -3.22%E -0.808%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:25
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 57.19%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.84%EV -4.76%E -0.945%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.97%EV -3.95%E -0.998%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:45
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.98%E -0.745%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 13:44
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:24
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 21:30
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 21:30
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 09:15
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:55
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 19:43
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:48
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -10.75%E -6.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 19:59
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.34%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.46%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:35
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:20
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 21:14
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 16:19
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.02%EV -11.32%E -7.25%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 19:59
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.00%EV -11.88%E -7.67%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.00%EV -11.88%E -7.67%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 20:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -8.35%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 18:45
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -8.35%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 23:00
Suprabets1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.22%EV -8.07%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:13
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:17
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 23:00
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 05:40
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 05:39
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 05:39
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 05:39
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 01:18
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.75%E -6.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 09:14
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 18:45
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 18:50
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 16:19
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.00%EV -11.88%E -7.67%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -11.47%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 13:40
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.34%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -11.47%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 17:29
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -10.75%E -6.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 16:19
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 56.95%EV -11.88%E -7.67%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-22 09:15
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -13.02%E -8.51%K -24.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -19.96%E -6.05%K -8.68%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-23 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.49%EV -11.32%E -7.25%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.13%EV -18.75%E -4.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.38%EV -13.89%E -3.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-22 20:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.20%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.20%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.20%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-04-24 03:15
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%6.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%10.0%2026-04-23 07:44
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.81%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.24%11.0%2026-04-24 00:39