L’École des cotes

Genk v Standard Liege

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 16:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Genk (Local)

Prévision 56.85%1.76cote équitable
EV -4.49%
Avantage -2.67%
Kelly -6.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.44%56.83%56.84%58.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.621.621.6865.36%61.58%61.73%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Standard Liege (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.90%5.29cote équitable
EV +0.149%
Avantage +0.028%
Kelly +0.035%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.24%18.92%18.88%20.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.894.905.3023.26%20.45%20.41%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.25%4.12cote équitable
EV -0.555%
Avantage -0.135%
Kelly -0.179%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.51%24.25%24.27%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.833.854.1030.30%26.11%25.97%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.91%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.36%EV +0.149%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV -0.555%E -0.135%K -0.179%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 19:59
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.91%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.36%EV +0.149%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV -0.555%E -0.135%K -0.179%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -1.74%E -0.335%K -0.414%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.98%E -0.745%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -1.74%E -0.335%K -0.414%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.98%E -0.745%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:00
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:00
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:00
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.03%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:00
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 20:00
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 20:00
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 20:00
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.19%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.87%EV -4.39%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.94%EV -3.22%E -0.808%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:25
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 57.19%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.84%EV -4.76%E -0.945%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.97%EV -3.95%E -0.998%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:45
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.98%E -0.745%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 13:44
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:24
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 21:30
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 21:30
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 09:15
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:55
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 19:43
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:48
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -10.75%E -6.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 19:59
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.34%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.46%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:35
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:20
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -4.19%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 21:14
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 16:19
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.02%EV -11.32%E -7.25%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 19:59
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.00%EV -11.88%E -7.67%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.00%EV -11.88%E -7.67%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 20:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -8.35%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 18:45
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -8.35%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 23:00
Suprabets1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.22%EV -8.07%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:13
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:17
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 23:00
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 05:40
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 05:39
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 05:39
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 05:39
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 01:18
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.75%E -6.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 09:14
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 18:45
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 18:50
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 16:19
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.00%EV -11.88%E -7.67%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -11.47%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 13:40
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.34%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -11.47%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 17:29
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -10.75%E -6.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 16:19
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 56.95%EV -11.88%E -7.67%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-22 09:15
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.04%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -13.02%E -8.51%K -24.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -19.96%E -6.05%K -8.68%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-23 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.49%EV -11.32%E -7.25%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.13%EV -18.75%E -4.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.38%EV -13.89%E -3.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-22 20:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.20%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.20%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.20%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-04-24 03:15
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%6.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%10.0%2026-04-23 07:44
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.81%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.24%11.0%2026-04-24 00:39