Language:English
Genk v Leuven
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Genk (Local)
Prediction 57.19%1.75fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -4.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.82%57.19%57.09%58.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.611.6965.36%61.92%62.11%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leuven (Visit)
Prediction 19.41%5.15fair odd
EV +2.88%
Edge +0.543%
Kelly +0.669%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.34%19.42%19.50%20.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.774.805.3023.09%20.94%20.83%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.40%4.27fair odd
EV +0.633%
Edge +0.147%
Kelly +0.192%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.31%23.39%23.41%25.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.964.004.3030.77%25.24%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genk (Local): 57.19%; Leuven (Visit): 19.41%; Draw: 23.40%. For Leuven (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.15. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.53%EV -3.36%E -1.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +2.88%E +0.543%K +0.669%G +0.019% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.13%EV -5.69%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.73%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.65%EV +0.355%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.63%EV -4.52%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.57%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.95%EV -1.00%E -0.197%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%EV +0.633%E +0.147%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.57%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.95%EV -1.00%E -0.197%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%EV +0.633%E +0.147%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -9.07%E -5.71%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.55%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -6.86%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 13:56 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -10.79%E -6.92%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -5.86%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -5.86%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -6.22%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -6.22%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -13.41%E -3.62%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -10.79%E -6.92%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.22%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -15.75%E -4.37%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -15.75%E -4.37%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -15.75%E -4.37%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.51%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.51%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.19%EV -3.36%E -1.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.02%EV -9.65%E -6.11%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.40%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.31%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.31%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.71%EV -11.36%E -7.33%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%EV -13.41%E -3.62%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -14.59%E -3.32%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -14.59%E -3.32%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.14%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -14.59%E -3.32%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.82%EV -12.51%E -8.17%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.37%EV -15.95%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -23.94%E -7.37%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.33% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20% | 0.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.33% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20% | 0.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.95% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.24% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.48% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31% | 2.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |