La scuola delle quote

Genk v Leuven

Inizio: 2026-04-12 14:04 UTC

Finale: Genk 0–0 Leuven

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Genk (Casa)

Previsione 57.19%1.75quota equa
EV -3.36%
Vantaggio -1.99%
Kelly -4.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.82%57.19%57.09%58.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.611.611.6965.36%61.92%62.11%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Leuven (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.41%5.15quota equa
EV +2.88%
Vantaggio +0.543%
Kelly +0.669%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.34%19.42%19.50%20.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.774.805.3023.09%20.94%20.83%18.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.40%4.27quota equa
EV +0.633%
Vantaggio +0.147%
Kelly +0.192%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.31%23.39%23.41%25.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.964.004.3030.77%25.24%25.00%23.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.53%EV -3.36%E -1.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +2.88%E +0.543%K +0.669%G +0.019%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.13%EV -5.69%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-12 13:59
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.73%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.65%EV +0.355%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.63%EV -4.52%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 13:59
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.57%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.95%EV -1.00%E -0.197%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%EV +0.633%E +0.147%K +0.192%G +0.001%3.5%2026-04-12 14:00
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.57%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.95%EV -1.00%E -0.197%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%EV +0.633%E +0.147%K +0.192%G +0.001%3.5%2026-04-12 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 14:00
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 13:59
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 13:59
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 14:00
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -9.07%E -5.71%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 14:00
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 14:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 13:59
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.55%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -6.86%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:59
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:00
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:56
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:59
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -10.79%E -6.92%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 13:59
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -5.86%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 14:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -5.86%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 13:59
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -6.22%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 13:59
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -6.22%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 13:59
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -13.41%E -3.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:00
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -10.79%E -6.92%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 13:59
Suprabets1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.22%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:00
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 13:59
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 13:59
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -15.75%E -4.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 14:00
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -15.75%E -4.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -15.75%E -4.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.51%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.51%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 14:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.19%EV -3.36%E -1.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:59
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.02%EV -9.65%E -6.11%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.40%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 13:59
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:00
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 56.31%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 56.31%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 14:00
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 14:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-12 14:00
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 56.71%EV -11.36%E -7.33%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%EV -13.41%E -3.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -14.59%E -3.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:59
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -14.59%E -3.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.14%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -14.59%E -3.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.82%EV -12.51%E -8.17%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.37%EV -15.95%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -23.94%E -7.37%K -10.64%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-12 13:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.33%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20%0.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.33%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20%0.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-04-12 14:00
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 57.95%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-04-12 13:59
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.24%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-04-12 14:00
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.48%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31%2.9%2026-04-12 14:00