La escuela de los momiosGenk v Leuven
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Genk (Local)
Predicción 57.19%1.75momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.99%
Kelly -4.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.82%57.19%57.09%58.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.611.611.6965.36%61.92%62.11%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leuven (Visitante)
Predicción 19.41%5.15momio equitativo
EV +2.88%
Ventaja +0.543%
Kelly +0.669%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.34%19.42%19.50%20.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.774.805.3023.09%20.94%20.83%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.40%4.27momio equitativo
EV +0.633%
Ventaja +0.147%
Kelly +0.192%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.31%23.39%23.41%25.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.964.004.3030.77%25.24%25.00%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.53%EV -3.36%E -1.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +2.88%E +0.543%K +0.669%G +0.019% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.13%EV -5.69%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.73%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.65%EV +0.355%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.63%EV -4.52%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.57%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.95%EV -1.00%E -0.197%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%EV +0.633%E +0.147%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.57%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.95%EV -1.00%E -0.197%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%EV +0.633%E +0.147%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -9.07%E -5.71%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -1.71%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -2.95%E -0.589%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.55%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -6.86%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 13:56 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -10.79%E -6.92%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -4.89%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -5.86%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -5.86%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| BetUS | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -6.22%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -6.22%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -13.41%E -3.62%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -10.79%E -6.92%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.83%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Suprabets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.22%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -15.75%E -4.37%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -15.75%E -4.37%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -15.75%E -4.37%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.51%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.51%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.19%EV -3.36%E -1.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.05%E -0.987%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.02%EV -9.65%E -6.11%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.71%E -2.33%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.40%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.31%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.31%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.71%EV -11.36%E -7.33%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -12.65%E -2.81%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%EV -13.41%E -3.62%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -14.59%E -3.32%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -14.59%E -3.32%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.14%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -14.59%E -3.32%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.82%EV -12.51%E -8.17%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.37%EV -15.95%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -23.94%E -7.37%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.33% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20% | 0.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.33% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20% | 0.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.95% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.24% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.48% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31% | 2.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |