Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.32
assuming max odds 3.55
assuming max odds 3.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genk (Local): 42.90%; Gent (Visit): 28.71%; Draw: 28.39%. For Gent (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.91%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.15%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV +1.91%E +0.537%K +0.748%G +0.014% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.15%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV +1.91%E +0.537%K +0.748%G +0.014% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 13:16 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.24%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%EV +0.471%E +0.135%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.40%E -0.706%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -7.33%E -3.39%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.40%E -0.706%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -7.33%E -3.39%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.40%E -0.706%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.40%E -0.706%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 13:16 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.40%E -0.706%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 13:16 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.24%EV -1.75%E -0.766%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.96%EV -5.17%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -3.83%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -3.83%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -7.33%E -3.39%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.59%EV -7.44%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -10.76%E -5.17%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 13:16 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.03%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.16%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -2.05%E -0.594%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 13:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.08%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -5.84%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.68%EV -8.30%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 13:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 13:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -10.76%E -5.17%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -10.76%E -5.17%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 13:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -0.466%E -0.201%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -0.466%E -0.201%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -0.466%E -0.201%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -14.20%E -7.10%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 13:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.58%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -9.58%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -16.24%E -5.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-13 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.45%E -4.08%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 13:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.88%EV -10.76%E -5.17%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.45%E -4.08%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 13:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.46% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50% | 2.7% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.66% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |