Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Genk v Gent

Início: 2026-09-13 14:01 UTC

Final: Genk 1–1 Gent

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Genk (Local)

Previsão 42.90%2.33odd justa
EV -0.466%
Vantagem -0.201%
Kelly -0.353%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.43%42.88%42.83%44.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.152.3250.00%46.41%46.51%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gent (Visitante)

Previsão 28.71%3.48odd justa
EV +1.91%
Vantagem +0.537%
Kelly +0.748%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.11%28.68%28.76%30.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.253.253.5532.79%30.77%30.77%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.39%3.52odd justa
EV -2.05%
Vantagem -0.594%
Kelly -0.836%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.07%28.43%28.41%30.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.223.253.4533.90%31.06%30.77%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Genk (Local): 42.90%; Gent (Visitante): 28.71%; Empate: 28.39%. Para Gent (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.48. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.91%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.15%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV +1.91%E +0.537%K +0.748%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.15%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV +1.91%E +0.537%K +0.748%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 13:16
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.24%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%EV +0.471%E +0.135%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.40%E -0.706%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 14:00
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -7.33%E -3.39%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.40%E -0.706%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -7.33%E -3.39%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.40%E -0.706%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.40%E -0.706%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 13:16
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.40%E -0.706%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 13:16
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.24%EV -1.75%E -0.766%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.96%EV -5.17%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -3.83%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 13:55
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -3.83%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -7.33%E -3.39%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.59%EV -7.44%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -10.76%E -5.17%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 13:16
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.03%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.16%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -2.05%E -0.594%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 13:59
Suprabets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.08%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -5.84%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.68%EV -8.30%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 13:58
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 13:58
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 13:59
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 13:55
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -10.76%E -5.17%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -10.76%E -5.17%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 13:15
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:30
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -0.466%E -0.201%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -0.466%E -0.201%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 14:00
BetAnything🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -0.466%E -0.201%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 13:45
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 13:59
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -14.20%E -7.10%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 14:00
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.58%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 13:45
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -9.58%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -16.24%E -5.51%K -8.33%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-13 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 13:30
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 13:20
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 14:00
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.45%E -4.08%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 13:46
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.88%EV -10.76%E -5.17%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.45%E -4.08%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 13:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-13 13:55
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-09-13 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-09-13 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%2.7%2026-09-13 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-09-13 14:00
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 44.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.66%8.0%2026-09-13 14:00