Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dender v Gent

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 17:32 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dender (Local)

Prediction 31.03%3.22fair odd
EV +5.51%
Edge +1.62%
Kelly +2.29%
Growth +0.126%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.30%30.95%31.16%32.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.063.053.4036.36%32.72%32.79%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gent (Visit)

Prediction 41.98%2.38fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.69%42.01%41.90%45.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.202.3150.00%46.15%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.99%3.71fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -0.989%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%27.04%26.94%28.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.433.453.6134.72%29.15%28.99%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dender (Local): 31.03%; Gent (Visit): 41.98%; Draw: 26.99%. For Dender (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV +5.51%E +1.62%K +2.29%G +0.126%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -10.16%E -4.75%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -2.85%E -0.792%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 17:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV +5.51%E +1.62%K +2.29%G +0.126%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -10.16%E -4.75%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -2.85%E -0.792%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV +3.95%E +1.18%K +1.68%G +0.067%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -11.00%E -5.19%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV +3.95%E +1.18%K +1.68%G +0.067%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -11.00%E -5.19%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV +2.40%E +0.728%K +1.04%G +0.025%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:30
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV +2.40%E +0.728%K +1.04%G +0.025%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:30
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV +2.40%E +0.728%K +1.04%G +0.025%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:30
1xBet🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.52%EV +2.09%E +0.636%K +0.914%G +0.019%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.97%EV -5.12%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.51%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV +0.851%E +0.262%K +0.378%G +0.003%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -14.35%E -7.04%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -2.85%E -0.792%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:29
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +0.851%E +0.262%K +0.378%G +0.003%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:29
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +0.851%E +0.262%K +0.378%G +0.003%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV +0.851%E +0.262%K +0.378%G +0.003%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -13.94%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.57%EV -1.94%E -0.614%K -0.899%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.82%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.57%EV -1.94%E -0.614%K -0.899%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.82%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 17:29
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -2.25%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -16.03%E -8.02%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -2.25%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -16.03%E -8.02%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 17:30
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:29
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:29
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -4.42%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.58%E -0.715%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:29
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:29
BetAnything🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:29
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:28
Marathon Bet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.80%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Suprabets🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.37%EV -5.12%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.94%EV -6.36%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:27
Everygame🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -9.39%E -3.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:29
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -9.39%E -3.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:29
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 17:30
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 17:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 17:29
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-22 17:30
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.30%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -10.94%E -3.81%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.88%EV -10.58%E -4.97%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 17:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -10.94%E -3.81%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -12.30%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 17:28
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.60%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -9.60%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -13.94%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 17:29
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -13.94%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.30%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -16.03%E -8.02%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -22.28%E -7.74%K -11.85%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-22 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -12.30%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-03-22 17:30
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-03-22 17:30
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%3.5%2026-03-22 17:30
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 29.76%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.31%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.93%4.0%2026-03-22 17:30