La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Dender v Gent
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dender (Local)
Predicción 31.03%3.22momio equitativo
EV +5.51%
Ventaja +1.62%
Kelly +2.29%
Crecimiento +0.126%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.30%30.95%31.16%32.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.063.053.4036.36%32.72%32.79%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gent (Visitante)
Predicción 41.98%2.38momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.69%42.01%41.90%45.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.202.3150.00%46.15%45.45%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.99%3.71momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -0.715%
Kelly -0.989%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.82%27.04%26.94%28.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.433.453.6134.72%29.15%28.99%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV +5.51%E +1.62%K +2.29%G +0.126% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -10.16%E -4.75%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -2.85%E -0.792%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV +5.51%E +1.62%K +2.29%G +0.126% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -10.16%E -4.75%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -2.85%E -0.792%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV +3.95%E +1.18%K +1.68%G +0.067% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -11.00%E -5.19%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV +3.95%E +1.18%K +1.68%G +0.067% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -11.00%E -5.19%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV +2.40%E +0.728%K +1.04%G +0.025% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV +2.40%E +0.728%K +1.04%G +0.025% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV +2.40%E +0.728%K +1.04%G +0.025% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.52%EV +2.09%E +0.636%K +0.914%G +0.019% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.97%EV -5.12%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.51%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV +0.851%E +0.262%K +0.378%G +0.003% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -14.35%E -7.04%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -2.85%E -0.792%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +0.851%E +0.262%K +0.378%G +0.003% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +0.851%E +0.262%K +0.378%G +0.003% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV +0.851%E +0.262%K +0.378%G +0.003% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -13.94%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.57%EV -1.94%E -0.614%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.82%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.57%EV -1.94%E -0.614%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.82%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -2.25%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -16.03%E -8.02%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -2.25%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -16.03%E -8.02%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Pinnacle | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -4.42%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.58%E -0.715%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| BetAnything | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 17:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.80%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Suprabets | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.37%EV -5.12%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.94%EV -6.36%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 17:27 |
| Everygame | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -9.39%E -3.22%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -9.39%E -3.22%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.30%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -10.94%E -3.81%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.88%EV -10.58%E -4.97%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -10.94%E -3.81%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -12.30%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-22 17:28 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.60%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -9.60%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -13.94%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -13.94%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.30%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -16.03%E -8.02%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -22.28%E -7.74%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -12.30%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83% | 3.5% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Kalshi | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.76% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.31% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.93% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |