L’École des cotes

Dender v Gent

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 17:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dender (Local)

Prévision 31.03%3.22cote équitable
EV +5.51%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +2.29%
Croissance +0.126%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.30%30.95%31.16%32.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.063.053.4036.36%32.72%32.79%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gent (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.98%2.38cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.69%42.01%41.90%45.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.202.3150.00%46.15%45.45%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.99%3.71cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -0.715%
Kelly -0.989%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.82%27.04%26.94%28.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.433.453.6134.72%29.15%28.99%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV +5.51%E +1.62%K +2.29%G +0.126%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -10.16%E -4.75%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -2.85%E -0.792%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 17:29
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV +5.51%E +1.62%K +2.29%G +0.126%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -10.16%E -4.75%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -2.85%E -0.792%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV +3.95%E +1.18%K +1.68%G +0.067%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -11.00%E -5.19%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:30
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV +3.95%E +1.18%K +1.68%G +0.067%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -11.00%E -5.19%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV +2.40%E +0.728%K +1.04%G +0.025%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:30
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV +2.40%E +0.728%K +1.04%G +0.025%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:30
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV +2.40%E +0.728%K +1.04%G +0.025%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:30
1xBet3.29I 30.40%NM 29.52%EV +2.09%E +0.636%K +0.914%G +0.019%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.97%EV -5.12%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.51%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV +0.851%E +0.262%K +0.378%G +0.003%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -14.35%E -7.04%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -2.85%E -0.792%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:29
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +0.851%E +0.262%K +0.378%G +0.003%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:29
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +0.851%E +0.262%K +0.378%G +0.003%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV +0.851%E +0.262%K +0.378%G +0.003%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -13.94%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 17:30
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.57%EV -1.94%E -0.614%K -0.899%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.82%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 17:30
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.57%EV -1.94%E -0.614%K -0.899%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.82%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 17:29
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -2.25%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -16.03%E -8.02%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -2.25%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -16.03%E -8.02%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 17:30
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:29
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:29
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:30
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -4.42%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.58%E -0.715%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 17:29
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:29
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:29
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:29
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:28
Marathon Bet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.80%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Suprabets2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.37%EV -5.12%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.94%EV -6.36%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:27
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -9.39%E -3.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:29
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -9.39%E -3.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:29
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 17:30
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 17:29
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 17:29
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-22 17:30
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.30%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -10.94%E -3.81%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.88%EV -10.58%E -4.97%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 17:29
NetBet (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -10.94%E -3.81%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -12.30%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 17:28
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.60%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -9.60%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -13.94%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 17:29
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -13.94%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.30%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -16.03%E -8.02%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -22.28%E -7.74%K -11.85%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-22 17:30
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -12.30%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-03-22 17:30
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-03-22 17:30
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%3.5%2026-03-22 17:30
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 29.76%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.31%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.93%4.0%2026-03-22 17:30