Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge v Royal Antwerp

2026-09-13 11:30 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge (Local)

Prediction 73.92%1.35fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -13.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.30%73.88%73.86%76.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.251.251.3085.47%79.91%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Royal Antwerp (Visit)

Prediction 10.15%9.85fair odd
EV +6.62%
Edge +0.631%
Kelly +0.697%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.94%10.16%10.24%11.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.258.989.0010.5013.79%11.13%11.11%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.92%6.28fair odd
EV +1.26%
Edge +0.198%
Kelly +0.235%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 6.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.78%15.96%15.90%17.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.685.656.3620.00%17.61%17.70%15.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Club Brugge (Local): 73.92%; Royal Antwerp (Visit): 10.15%; Draw: 15.92%. For Royal Antwerp (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.85. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.50, producing a positive expected value of +6.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.96%EV -8.33%E -6.72%K -34.73%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +6.62%E +0.631%K +0.697%G +0.046%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -0.489%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.46%EV -6.86%E -5.44%K -26.37%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV +6.62%E +0.631%K +0.697%G +0.046%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.61%EV -10.04%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 12:48
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.46%EV -6.86%E -5.44%K -26.37%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV +6.62%E +0.631%K +0.697%G +0.046%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.61%EV -10.04%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 12:50
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.54%EV -6.86%E -5.44%K -26.37%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV +3.58%E +0.351%K +0.389%G +0.014%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.13%EV +0.147%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 12:35
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.33%E -6.72%K -34.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +1.55%E +0.155%K +0.172%G +0.003%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -4.47%E -0.745%K -0.894%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -12.77%E -10.82%K -70.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV +1.55%E +0.155%K +0.172%G +0.003%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -4.47%E -0.745%K -0.894%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -12.77%E -10.82%K -70.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV +1.55%E +0.155%K +0.172%G +0.003%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -4.47%E -0.745%K -0.894%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.18%EV -8.33%E -6.72%K -34.73%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.42%EV +0.532%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -3.67%E -0.607%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:15
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.48%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -3.53%E -0.372%K -0.415%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.47%EV -7.65%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.48%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -3.53%E -0.372%K -0.415%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.47%EV -7.65%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.48%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -3.53%E -0.372%K -0.415%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.47%EV -7.65%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -9.81%E -8.04%K -44.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -3.53%E -0.372%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -4.47%E -0.745%K -0.894%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:49
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.38%EV -13.51%E -11.55%K -79.47%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -3.53%E -0.372%K -0.415%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.34%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 11:55
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.19%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%9.37I 10.67%NM 10.03%EV -4.85%E -0.518%K -0.579%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 14.78%EV +1.26%E +0.198%K +0.235%G +0.003%6.4%2026-09-06 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.09%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -8.61%E -0.956%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.29%EV -0.489%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 11:55
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -8.61%E -0.956%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -4.47%E -0.745%K -0.894%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 11:55
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -8.61%E -0.956%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -4.47%E -0.745%K -0.894%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -8.61%E -0.956%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.84%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -8.61%E -0.956%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.84%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:50
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -8.61%E -0.956%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.84%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:50
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -8.61%E -0.956%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -10.84%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -8.61%E -0.956%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:49
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -8.61%E -0.956%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 12:45
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -8.61%E -0.956%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -8.61%E -0.956%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -8.61%E -0.956%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 12:50
Suprabets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.05%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.52%EV -10.64%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -4.47%E -0.745%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 11:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.32%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.47%E -0.745%K -0.894%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -15.62%E -2.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -6.86%E -5.44%K -26.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -15.62%E -2.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:50
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -6.86%E -5.44%K -26.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -15.62%E -2.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:50
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -6.86%E -5.44%K -26.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -15.62%E -2.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.68%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.28%EV -16.22%E -1.97%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -7.65%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -18.76%E -2.35%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -16.41%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -8.33%E -6.72%K -34.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -18.76%E -2.35%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -17.21%E -3.31%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 12:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -8.33%E -6.72%K -34.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -18.76%E -2.35%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -17.21%E -3.31%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 12:15
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 72.54%EV -11.29%E -9.41%K -56.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.88%EV -18.76%E -2.35%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.58%EV -16.41%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-06 11:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.18%EV -8.33%E -6.72%K -34.73%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -21.30%E -2.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 12:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.30%EV -9.81%E -8.04%K -44.61%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.30%EV -21.81%E -2.83%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -20.39%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-06 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.02%EV -9.81%E -8.04%K -44.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -23.84%E -3.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -14.02%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 71.45%EV -10.55%E -8.72%K -50.25%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.92%EV -26.38%E -3.64%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.63%EV -17.21%E -3.31%K -4.10%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-06 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 72.09%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.91%13.7%2026-09-06 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-06 12:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-06 12:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-06 12:05