Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge v Royal Antwerp

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 11:30 UTC

Final: Club Brugge 3–1 Royal Antwerp

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge (Local)

Prediction 73.57%1.36fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -11.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.09%73.44%73.60%75.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.251.3183.33%79.62%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Royal Antwerp (Visit)

Prediction 10.33%9.68fair odd
EV +13.68%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.187%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.62%10.43%10.36%12.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.259.199.1011.0013.79%10.88%10.99%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.09%6.21fair odd
EV +1.71%
Edge +0.271%
Kelly +0.322%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 6.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.04%16.13%16.05%18.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.745.756.3220.00%17.42%17.39%15.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Club Brugge (Local): 73.57%; Royal Antwerp (Visit): 10.33%; Draw: 16.09%. For Royal Antwerp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.68. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.83%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.76%EV +13.68%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.41%EV +0.586%E +0.094%K +0.112%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-13 11:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.83%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.76%EV +13.68%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.41%EV +0.586%E +0.094%K +0.112%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-13 11:00
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.84%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.62%EV +13.68%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.54%EV -1.83%E -0.300%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 11:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.51%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.51%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:01
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.51%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:01
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.51%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:01
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.51%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%10.29I 9.72%NM 9.32%EV +6.34%E +0.616%K +0.682%G +0.043%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.17%EV +1.71%E +0.271%K +0.322%G +0.006%4.3%2026-09-13 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 11:05
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -16.31%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:19
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -16.31%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:25
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.98%EV -7.30%E -5.79%K -28.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:20
Suprabets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.03%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.23%EV -8.27%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 11:02
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -9.51%E -7.73%K -41.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 11:00
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 11:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -10.98%E -9.07%K -52.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -10.98%E -9.07%K -52.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 11:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -10.98%E -9.07%K -52.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 11:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.71%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.85%EV -2.86%E -0.304%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.71%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.85%EV -2.86%E -0.304%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 11:25
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.71%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.85%EV -2.86%E -0.304%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 11:25
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -4.41%E -0.476%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 11:06
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.66%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.41%EV -4.92%E -0.535%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.93%EV -3.28%E -0.545%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 11:25
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 11:25
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 11:25
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 11:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -0.219%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 10:55
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 11:20
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 11:20
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -11.71%E -9.76%K -58.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -11.71%E -9.76%K -58.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 11:00
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.68%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.94%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.96%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 11:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.68%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.27%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 11:25
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.00%EV -11.71%E -9.76%K -58.57%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.15%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 11:00
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:25
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 11:25
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -5.83%E -4.55%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -19.53%E -3.91%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:15
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:05
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -14.74%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.50%EV -9.51%E -7.73%K -41.33%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.29%EV -18.36%E -2.32%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -19.91%E -2.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -15.51%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.03%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -22.49%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.77%EV -6.66%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.69%EV -7.30%E -5.79%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -25.08%E -3.46%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.85%EV -8.27%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.37%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%0.7%2026-09-13 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.37%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%0.7%2026-09-13 11:20
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.37%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%0.7%2026-09-13 11:25
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.25%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.90%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85%1.1%2026-09-13 11:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-09-13 11:25
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.18%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%1.8%2026-09-13 11:20